Technological Forecasting and Social Change

2012 - 2025

Current editor(s): Fred Phillips

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Volume 116, issue C, 2017

Rate equation leading to hype-type evolution curves: A mathematical approach in view of analysing technology development pp. 1-12

Paolo Silvestrini, Umberto Amato, Antonio Vettoliere, Stefano Silvestrini and Berardo Ruggiero

Technology Parks versus Science Parks: Does the university make the difference? pp. 13-28

Alberto Albahari, Salvador Pérez-Canto, Andrés Barge-Gil and Aurelia Modrego

Urban sewage sludge, sustainability, and transition for Eco-City: Multi-criteria sustainability assessment of technologies based on best-worst method pp. 29-39

Jingzheng Ren, Hanwei Liang and Felix T.S. Chan

Not fearless, but self-enhanced: The effects of anxiety on the willingness to use autonomous cars depend on individual levels of self-enhancement pp. 40-52

Christoph Hohenberger, Matthias Spörrle and Isabell M. Welpe

Decomposition of industrial water use from 2003 to 2012 in Tianjin, China pp. 53-61

Yizi Shang, Shibao Lu, Ling Shang, Xiaofei Li, Hongwang Shi and Wei Li

Patenting abroad: Evidence from OECD countries pp. 62-69

Fragiskos Archontakis and Nikos Varsakelis

Causal relationship between ICT R&D investment and economic growth in Korea pp. 70-75

Jae-pyo Hong

Do business cycles affect patenting? Evidence from European Patent Office filings pp. 76-86

Peter Hingley and Walter Park

The nature of strategic foresight research: A systematic literature review pp. 87-97

Jon Iden, Leif B. Methlie and Gunnar E. Christensen

Anticipation of converging technology areas — A refined approach for the identification of attractive fields of innovation pp. 98-115

Chie Hoon Song, David Elvers and Jens Leker

Disruptive innovation, managerial cognition, and technology competition outcomes pp. 116-128

Riccardo Vecchiato

Transition dynamics in state-influenced niche empowerments: Experiences from India's electricity sector pp. 129-141

Enayat A. Moallemi, Fjalar J. de Haan, John M. Webb, Biju A. George and Lu Aye

The technology foresight activities of European Union data protection authorities pp. 142-150

David Barnard-Wills

Changing characteristics of warfare and the future of Military R&D pp. 151-161

Serhat Burmaoglu and Ozcan Sarıtas

Text mining to gain technical intelligence for acquired target selection: A case study for China's computer numerical control machine tools industry pp. 162-180

Tingting Ma, Yi Zhang, Lu Huang, Lining Shang, Kangrui Wang, Huizhu Yu and Donghua Zhu

Do we really know the predictors of competence-creating R&D subsidiaries? Uncovering the mediation of dual network embeddedness pp. 181-195

Fariza Achcaoucaou, Paloma Miravitlles and Fidel León-Darder

Institutional change and innovation system transformation: A tale of two academies pp. 196-207

Maria Karaulova, Oliver Shackleton, Weishu Liu, Abdullah Gök and Philip Shapira

Extending the knowledge base of foresight: The contribution of text mining pp. 208-215

Victoria Kayser and Knut Blind

Cumulative emissions, unburnable fossil fuel, and the optimal carbon tax pp. 216-222

Frederick (Rick) van der Ploeg and Armon Rezai

Determinants of profiting from innovation activities: Comparisons between technological leaders and latecomers pp. 223-236

Mei-Chih Hu, Jin-Su Kang and Ching-Yan Wu

Performance indicators for collaborative business ecosystems — Literature review and trends pp. 237-255

Paula Graça and Luís M. Camarinha-Matos

Increasing the national innovative capacity: Identifying the pathways to success using a comparative method pp. 256-270

Dorian Proksch, Marcus Max Haberstroh and Andreas Pinkwart

Controversial curves of the economy: An up-to-date investigation of long waves pp. 271-285

Antonio Focacci

The mismatch between demand and beneficiaries of R&D support programs for SMEs: Evidence from Korean R&D planning programs pp. 286-298

Seung-Pyo Jun, Sang-Gook Kim and Hyun-Woo Park

Integrated vs. add-on: A multidimensional conceptualisation of technology obsolescence pp. 299-307

Joseph Amankwah-Amoah

Conceptualising and practising multiple knowledge interactions in the life sciences pp. 308-315

David Wield, Joyce Tait, Joanna Chataway, James Mittra and Michele Mastroeni

Volume 115, issue C, 2017

Advanced users and the adoption of high speed broadband: Results of a living lab study in the Netherlands pp. 1-14

Bert M. Sadowski

Determinants of success and intensity of livestock feed technologies use in Ethiopia: Evidence from a positive deviance perspective pp. 15-25

Mulugeta Birhanu, Anteneh Girma and Ranjitha Puskur

Unlocking how start-ups create business value with mobile applications: Development of an App-enabled Business Innovation Cycle pp. 26-36

Michel Ehrenhard, Fons Wijnhoven, Tijs van den Broek and Marc Zinck Stagno

Forecasting by analogy using the web search traffic pp. 37-51

Seung-Pyo Jun, Tae-Eung Sung and Hyun-Woo Park

Forthcoming Kondratieff wave, Cybernetic Revolution, and global ageing pp. 52-68

Leonid E. Grinin, Anton L. Grinin and Andrey Korotayev

On research and development in a model of Schumpeterian economic growth in a creative region pp. 69-74

Amitrajeet Batabyal and Seung Jick Yoo

Unlocking value for a circular economy through 3D printing: A research agenda pp. 75-84

M. Despeisse, M. Baumers, P. Brown, F. Charnley, S.J. Ford, A. Garmulewicz, S. Knowles, T.H.W. Minshall, L. Mortara, F.P. Reed-Tsochas and J. Rowley

Technological change, rent and income inequalities: A Schumpeterian approach pp. 85-98

Cristiano Antonelli and Agnieszka Gehringer

Exploring emerging battery technology for grid-connected energy storage with Constructive Technology Assessment pp. 99-110

T. Versteeg, Manuel Baumann, M. Weil and António Moniz

Diversely moving towards a green economy: Techno-organisational decarbonisation trajectories and environmental policy in EU sectors pp. 111-116

Massimiliano Mazzanti and Ugo Rizzo

ICT/Cyber benefits and costs: Reconciling competing perspectives on the current and future balance pp. 117-130

Barry B. Hughes, David Bohl, Mohammod Irfan, Eli Margolese-Malin and José R. Solórzano

Firms' knowledge profiles: Mapping patent data with unsupervised learning pp. 131-142

Arho Suominen, Hannes Toivanen and Marko Seppänen

Real Time Spatial Delphi: Fast convergence of experts' opinions on the territory pp. 143-154

Simone Di Zio, Juan Daniel Castillo Rosas and Luana Lamelza

Grey modelling based forecasting system for return flow of end-of-life vehicles pp. 155-166

Seval Ene and Nursel Öztürk

The characteristics and impacts of scientific publications in biotechnology research referenced in standards pp. 167-179

Michael Raven and Knut Blind

Improving scenario methods in infrastructure planning: A case study of long distance travel and mobility in the UK under extreme weather uncertainty and a changing climate pp. 180-197

Alberto Zanni, Murray Goulden, Tim Ryley and Robert Dingwall

Social construction of stormwater control measures in Melbourne and Copenhagen: A discourse analysis of technological change, embedded meanings and potential mainstreaming pp. 198-209

Herle Mo Madsen, Rebekah Brown, Morten Elle and Peter Steen Mikkelsen

Use of a new patent text-mining and visualization method for identifying patenting patterns over time: Concept, method and test application pp. 210-220

Helen Niemann, Martin G. Moehrle and Jonas Frischkorn

How institutional arrangements in the National Innovation System affect industrial competitiveness: A study of Japan and the U.S. with multiagent simulation pp. 221-235

Seokbeom Kwon and Kazuyuki Motohashi

FTA and Innovation Systems pp. 236-239

Per Dannemand Andersen, Ron Johnston and Ozcan Saritas

European sectoral innovation foresight: Identifying emerging cross-sectoral patterns and policy issues pp. 240-250

Karl Matthias Weber and Petra Schaper-Rinkel

A functions approach to improve sectoral technology roadmaps pp. 251-260

Carolina R. Haddad and Mauricio Uriona Maldonado

Enabling technologies, lifecycle transitions, and industrial systems in technology foresight: Insights from advanced materials FTA pp. 261-277

Charles R. Featherston and Eoin O'Sullivan

Wiring up multiple layers of innovation ecosystems: Contemplations from Personal Health Systems Foresight pp. 278-288

Laura Pombo-Juárez, Totti Könnölä, Ian Miles, Ozcan Saritas, Doris Schartinger, Effie Amanatidou and Susanne Giesecke

Regional foresight and dynamics of smart specialization: A typology of regional diversification patterns pp. 289-300

Kalle A. Piirainen, Anne Nygaard Tanner and Lars Alkærsig

Strategic standardisation of smart systems: A roadmapping process in support of innovation pp. 301-312

Jae-Yun Ho and Eoin O'Sullivan

Evaluating foresight in transnational research programming pp. 313-326

Karel Haegeman, Manfred Spiesberger and Totti Könnölä

The 'fit' between forward-looking activities and the innovation policy governance sub-system: A framework to explore potential impacts pp. 327-337

Attila Havas and Karl Matthias Weber

A portfolio analysis methodology to inform innovation policy and foresight pp. 338-347

Eduardo do Couto e Silva, Richard Silberglitt, Lucas Chieregatti Machado, Jackson Max Furtunato Maia and Cristiano Hugo Cagnin

Comparing public and scientific discourse in the context of innovation systems pp. 348-357

Victoria Kayser