Technological Forecasting and Social Change

2012 - 2025

Current editor(s): Fred Phillips

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Volume 90, issue PB, 2015

Novelty-focused patent mapping for technology opportunity analysis pp. 355-365

Changyong Lee, Bokyoung Kang and Juneseuk Shin

Homogeneous and heterogeneous diffusion models: Algerian natural gas production pp. 366-378

Renato Guseo, Cinzia Mortarino and Md Abud Darda

Tracing discursive space: Agency and change in sustainability transitions pp. 379-388

Udo Pesch

Energy policy planning near grid parity using a price-driven technology penetration model pp. 389-399

Peter D. Lund

Determinants of the adoption of modern technology in the handloom industry in Assam pp. 400-409

Alin Borah Bortamuly and Kishor Goswami

The effect of public subsidies on corporate R&D investment: An application of the generalized propensity score pp. 410-419

Xiaoyong Dai and Liwei Cheng

Scratching the surface: Exploratory analysis of key opinion leaders on rate limiting factors in novel adjuvanted-vaccine development pp. 420-432

Esther Pronker, Tamar Weenen, Harry Commandeur, E. Claassen and A.D.M.E. Osterhaus

Integrated roadmaps and corporate foresight as tools of innovation management: The case of Russian companies pp. 433-443

Konstantin Vishnevskiy, Oleg Karasev and Dirk Meissner

Activity sets in multi-organizational ecologies: a project-level perspective on sustainable energy innovations pp. 444-455

Kristina Manser, Bas Hillebrand, Paul H. Driessen, Gerrit Willem Ziggers and Josée M.M. Bloemer

A comparative analysis framework for assessing the sustainability of a combined water and energy infrastructure pp. 456-468

Ferhat Karaca, Paul Graham Raven, John Machell and Fatih Camci

Assessing the industrial opportunity of academic research with patent relatedness: A case study on polymer electrolyte fuel cells pp. 469-475

Takaya Ogawa and Yuya Kajikawa

Modelling OECD broadband subscriptions in disequilibrium pp. 476-486

Walter J. Mayer, Gary Madden, Zhong Jin and Thien Tran

On the coexistence of innovators and imitators pp. 487-496

Roy Cerqueti, Fabio Tramontana and Marco Ventura

Modelling European usage of renewable energy technologies for electricity generation pp. 497-509

Nigel Meade and Towhidul Islam

The ‘Narrative Turn’ in developing foresight: Assessing how cultural products can assist organisations in detecting trends pp. 510-513

Jan Oliver Schwarz

Heterogeneity in diffusion of innovations modelling: A few fundamental types pp. 514-524

Renato Guseo and Mariangela Guidolin

Transition experiments in Amsterdam: Conceptual and empirical analysis of two transition experiments in the WATERgraafsmeer program pp. 525-537

Nadia Porter, Maarten Claassen and Jos Timmermans

Infrastructure transformation as a socio-technical process — Implications for the governance of energy distribution networks in the UK pp. 538-550

Ronan Bolton and Timothy Foxon

Provision of mobile banking services from an actor–network perspective: Implications for convergence and standardization pp. 551-561

Heejin Lee, G. Harindranath, Sangjo Oh and Dong-Jae Kim

The dynamics of incremental costs of efficient television display technologies pp. 562-574

Louis-Benoit Desroches and Mohan Ganeshalingam

The effect of technological diversification on organizational performance: An empirical study of S&P 500 manufacturing firms pp. 575-586

Chinho Lin and Chia-Chi Chang

Energy and mineral peaks, and a future steady state economy pp. 587-598

Antonio García-Olivares and Joaquim Ballabrera-Poy

Forecasting technological progress potential based on the complexity of product knowledge pp. 599-610

Andy Dong and Somwrita Sarkar

Lessons in urban monitoring taken from sustainable and livable cities to better address the Smart Cities initiative pp. 611-622

Maria-Lluïsa Marsal-Llacuna, Joan Colomer-Llinàs and Joaquim Meléndez-Frigola

R&D partnerships: An exploratory approach to the role of structural variables in joint project performance pp. 623-634

Marta F. Arroyabe, Nieves Arranz and Juan Carlos Fdez. de Arroyabe

Opportunities for social enterprise in Germany — Evidence from an expert survey pp. 635-646

Henning Engelke, Stefanie Mauksch, Inga-Lena Darkow and Heiko A. von der Gracht

Volume 90, issue PA, 2015

Locked into Copenhagen pledges — Implications of short-term emission targets for the cost and feasibility of long-term climate goals pp. 8-23

Keywan Riahi, Elmar Kriegler, Nils Johnson, Christoph Bertram, Michel den Elzen, Jiyong Eom, Michiel Schaeffer, Jae Edmonds, Morna Isaac, Volker Krey, Thomas Longden, Gunnar Luderer, Aurélie Méjean, David L. McCollum, Silvana Mima, Hal Turton, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Kenichi Wada, Valentina Bosetti, Pantelis Capros, Patrick Criqui, Meriem Hamdi-Cherif, Mikiko Kainuma and Ottmar Edenhofer

Making or breaking climate targets: The AMPERE study on staged accession scenarios for climate policy pp. 24-44

Elmar Kriegler, Keywan Riahi, Nico Bauer, Valeria Jana Schwanitz, Nils Petermann, Valentina Bosetti, Adriana Marcucci, Sander Otto, Leonidas Paroussos, Shilpa Rao, Tabaré Arroyo Currás, Shuichi Ashina, Johannes Bollen, Jiyong Eom, Meriem Hamdi-Cherif, Thomas Longden, Alban Kitous, Aurélie Méjean, Fuminori Sano, Michiel Schaeffer, Kenichi Wada, Pantelis Capros, Detlef P. van Vuuren and Ottmar Edenhofer

Diagnostic indicators for integrated assessment models of climate policy pp. 45-61

Elmar Kriegler, Nils Petermann, Volker Krey, Valeria Jana Schwanitz, Gunnar Luderer, Shuichi Ashina, Valentina Bosetti, Jiyong Eom, Alban Kitous, Aurélie Méjean, Leonidas Paroussos, Fuminori Sano, Hal Turton, Charlie Wilson and Detlef P. Van Vuuren

Carbon lock-in through capital stock inertia associated with weak near-term climate policies pp. 62-72

Christoph Bertram, Nils Johnson, Gunnar Luderer, Keywan Riahi, Morna Isaac and Jiyong Eom

The impact of near-term climate policy choices on technology and emission transition pathways pp. 73-88

Jiyong Eom, Jae Edmonds, Volker Krey, Nils Johnson, Thomas Longden, Gunnar Luderer, Keywan Riahi and Detlef P. Van Vuuren

Stranded on a low-carbon planet: Implications of climate policy for the phase-out of coal-based power plants pp. 89-102

Nils Johnson, Volker Krey, David L. McCollum, Shilpa Rao, Keywan Riahi and Joeri Rogelj

Diffusion of low-carbon technologies and the feasibility of long-term climate targets pp. 103-118

Gokul Iyer, Nathan Hultman, Jiyong Eom, Haewon McJeon, Pralit Patel and Leon Clarke

Mitigation strategies and energy technology learning: An assessment with the POLES model pp. 119-136

P. Criqui, S. Mima, Philippe Menanteau and Alban Kitous

Energy efficiency policies and the timing of action: An assessment of climate mitigation costs pp. 137-152

Ruben Bibas, Aurélie Méjean and Meriem Hamdi-Cherif

Assessments of GHG emission reduction scenarios of different levels and different short-term pledges through macro- and sectoral decomposition analyses pp. 153-165

Fuminori Sano, Kenichi Wada, Keigo Akimoto and Junichiro Oda

The implications of initiating immediate climate change mitigation — A potential for co-benefits? pp. 166-177

Valeria Jana Schwanitz, Thomas Longden, Brigitte Knopf and Pantelis Capros

The value of air pollution co-benefits of climate policies: Analysis with a global sector-trade CGE model called WorldScan pp. 178-191

Johannes Bollen

Carbon leakage in a fragmented climate regime: The dynamic response of global energy markets pp. 192-203

Tabaré Arroyo-Currás, Nico Bauer, Elmar Kriegler, Valeria Jana Schwanitz, Gunnar Luderer, Tino Aboumahboub, Anastasis Giannousakis and Jérôme Hilaire

Assessment of carbon leakage through the industry channel: The EU perspective pp. 204-219

Leonidas Paroussos, Panagiotis Fragkos, Pantelis Capros and Kostas Fragkiadakis

Impact of fragmented emission reduction regimes on the energy market and on CO2 emissions related to land use: A case study with China and the European Union as first movers pp. 220-229

Sander A.C. Otto, David E.H.J. Gernaat, Morna Isaac, Paul L. Lucas, Mariësse A.E. van Sluisveld, Maarten van den Berg, Jasper van Vliet and Detlef P. van Vuuren

Induced technological change in moderate and fragmented climate change mitigation regimes pp. 230-242

Adriana Marcucci and Hal Turton

CO2 emission mitigation and fossil fuel markets: Dynamic and international aspects of climate policies pp. 243-256

Nico Bauer, Valentina Bosetti, Meriem Hamdi-Cherif, Alban Kitous, David McCollum, Aurélie Méjean, Shilpa Rao, Hal Turton, Leonidas Paroussos, Shuichi Ashina, Katherine Calvin, Kenichi Wada and Detlef van Vuuren

Mid- and long-term climate projections for fragmented and delayed-action scenarios pp. 257-268

Michiel Schaeffer, Laila Gohar, Elmar Kriegler, Jason Lowe, Keywan Riahi and Detlef van Vuuren

Extending organizational antecedents of absorptive capacity: Organizational characteristics that encourage experimentation pp. 269-284

Ana Luiza Lara de Araújo Burcharth, Christopher Lettl and John Parm Ulhøi

An instrument for scenario-based technology roadmapping: How to assess the impacts of future changes on organisational plans pp. 285-301

Changyong Lee, Bomi Song and Yongtae Park

The moderating effects of urbanization on carbon dioxide emissions: A latent class modeling approach pp. 302-317

Makoto Chikaraishi, Akimasa Fujiwara, Shinji Kaneko, Phetkeo Poumanyvong, Satoru Komatsu and Andrey Kalugin

Technology innovation systems and technology diffusion: Adoption of bio-digestion in an emerging innovation system in Rwanda pp. 318-330

Aschalew Tigabu, Frans Berkhout and Pieter van Beukering

The diffusion of a renewable energy technology and innovation system functioning: Comparing bio-digestion in Kenya and Rwanda pp. 331-345

Aschalew Tigabu, Frans Berkhout and Pieter van Beukering

Strategy and business model design in dynamic telecommunications industries: A study on Italian mobile network operators pp. 346-354

Antonio Ghezzi, Marcelo Nogueira Cortimiglia and Alejandro Germán Frank