Technological Forecasting and Social Change

2012 - 2025

Current editor(s): Fred Phillips

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Volume 94, issue C, 2015

A structured scenario approach to multi-screen ecosystem forecasting in Korean communications market pp. 1-20

Suk-Gwon Chang

Hunting scale-free properties in R&D collaboration networks: Self-organization, power-law and policy issues in the European aerospace research area pp. 21-43

Lucio Biggiero and Pier Paolo Angelini

Patent-based QFD framework development for identification of emerging technologies and related business models: A case of robot technology in Korea pp. 44-64

Yonghan Ju and So Young Sohn

Understanding institutional capacity for urban water transitions pp. 65-79

Yvette Bettini, Rebekah R. Brown, Fjalar J. de Haan and Megan Farrelly

The futures of the service economy in Europe: A foresight analysis pp. 80-96

Faïz Gallouj, Karl Matthias Weber, Metka Stare and Luis Rubalcaba

Process supporting strategic decision-making in systemic transitions pp. 97-114

Heidi Auvinen, Sampsa Ruutu, Anu Tuominen, Toni Ahlqvist and Juha Oksanen

Forecasting the daily outbreak of topic-level political risk from social media using hidden Markov model-based techniques pp. 115-132

Jong Hwan Suh

Do good institutions enhance the effect of technological spillovers on productivity? Comparative evidence from developed and transition economies pp. 133-154

Sorin Krammer

Path-breaking directions of nanotechnology-based chemotherapy and molecular cancer therapy pp. 155-169

Mario Coccia and Lili Wang

Keystone effect on entry into two-sided markets: An analysis of the market entry of WiMAX pp. 170-186

Jin-Su Kang and Stephen Downing

Knowledge combination modeling: The measurement of knowledge similarity between different technological domains pp. 187-201

Hiroko Nakamura, Shinji Suzuki, Ichiro Sakata and Yuya Kajikawa

Regional collaborations and indigenous innovation capabilities in China: A multivariate method for the analysis of regional innovation systems pp. 202-220

S.L. Zhao, L. Cacciolatti, S.H. Lee and W. Song

Assessing effects of exogenous assumptions in GHG emissions forecasts – a 2020 scenario study for Portugal using the Times energy technology model pp. 221-235

Sofia Simoes, Patrícia Fortes, Júlia Seixas and Gjalt Huppes

Topic based classification and pattern identification in patents pp. 236-250

Subhashini Venugopalan and Varun Rai

Knowledge creation dynamics in foresight: A knowledge typology and exploratory method to analyse foresight workshops pp. 251-268

Mikko Dufva and Toni Ahlqvist

Changing minds about electric cars: An empirically grounded agent-based modeling approach pp. 269-285

Ingo Wolf, Tobias Schröder, Jochen Neumann and Gerhard de Haan

The patent portfolio value analysis: A new framework to leverage patent information for strategic technology planning pp. 286-302

Michele Grimaldi, Livio Cricelli, Martina Di Giovanni and Francesco Rogo

Structural change in Chinese economy: Impacts on energy use and CO2 emissions in the period 2013–2030 pp. 303-317

J. Luukkanen, J. Panula-Ontto, J. Vehmas, Liu Liyong, Jari Kaivo-oja, L. Häyhä and B. Auffermann

Water demands for electricity generation in the U.S.: Modeling different scenarios for the water–energy nexus pp. 318-334

Lu Liu, Mohamad Hejazi, Pralit Patel, Page Kyle, Evan Davies, Yuyu Zhou, Leon Clarke and James Edmonds

Seizing the X-events. The sixth K-wave and the shocks that may upend it pp. 335-349

Markku Wilenius and John Casti

Social commerce: The transfer of power from sellers to buyers pp. 350-358

Nick Hajli and Julian Sims

Volume 92, issue C, 2015

Modular deployment using TRM and function analysis pp. 1-11

Régis Kovacs Scalice, José Oliveira da Silva, Jaqueline Nazario Ostetto and Gabriele Aguiar de Paula

Assessing the value of real-life brands in Virtual Worlds pp. 12-24

Stuart J. Barnes, Jan Mattsson and Nicole Hartley

Toward successful commercialization of university technology: Performance drivers of university technology transfer in Taiwan pp. 25-39

David W.L. Hsu, Yung-Chi Shen, Benjamin J.C. Yuan and Chiyan James Chou

Towards resource-efficient and service-oriented integrated infrastructure operation pp. 40-52

Katy Roelich, Christof Knoeri, Julia K. Steinberger, Liz Varga, Phil T. Blythe, David Butler, Rajat Gupta, Gareth P. Harrison, Chris Martin and Phil Purnell

Transitions in biofuel technologies: An appraisal of the social impacts of cellulosic ethanol using the Delphi method pp. 53-68

Barbara E. Ribeiro and Miguel A. Quintanilla

A taxonomy of patent strategies in Taiwan's small and medium innovative enterprises pp. 84-98

Chao-Chih Hsueh and Dar-Zen Chen

Regional innovation system, absorptive capacity and innovation performance: An empirical study pp. 99-114

Antonio K.W. Lau and William Lo

The emergence of care robotics — A patent and publication analysis pp. 115-131

Moritz Goeldner, Cornelius Herstatt and Frank Tietze

Forecasting unemployment with internet search data: Does it help to improve predictions when job destruction is skyrocketing? pp. 132-139

María Rosalía Vicente, Ana López-Menéndez and Rigoberto Pérez

Switching attitudes of Taiwanese middle-aged and elderly patients toward cloud healthcare services: An exploratory study pp. 155-167

Jung-Yu Lai and Juite Wang

Too enthusiastic to care for safety: Present status and recent developments of nanosafety in ASEAN countries pp. 168-181

Md. Ershadul Karim, Abu Bakar Munir, Ahmed Wasif Reza, Firdaus Muhammad-Sukki, Siti Hajar Mohd Yasin, Siti Hawa Abu-Bakar and Ruzairi Abdul Rahim

Exploring technological opportunities by mining the gaps between science and technology: Microalgal biofuels pp. 182-195

Ming-Yeu Wang, Shih-Chieh Fang and Yu-Hsuan Chang

Technology maturity assessment based on blog analysis pp. 196-209

Till Albert, Martin G. Moehrle and Stefan Meyer

A measure of technological capabilities for developing countries pp. 210-223

Nabaz Khayyat and Jeong-Dong Lee

Supply risk interrelationships and the derivation of key supply risk indicators pp. 224-236

Benjamin Guertler and Stefan Spinler

Technology foresight for sustainable production in the German automotive supplier industry pp. 237-248

Bernadette Förster

Analysis of patent documents with weighted association rules pp. 249-262

Serkan Altuntas, Turkay Dereli and Andrew Kusiak

Measuring the value of patents with fuzzy multiple criteria decision making: insight into the practices of the Industrial Technology Research Institute pp. 263-275

Benjamin Wang and Chih-Hung Hsieh

Towards a regime-based typology of market evolution pp. 276-289

Marc Dijk, Renato J. Orsato and Rene Kemp

Political connections, financing constraints, and the optimization of innovation efficiency among China's private enterprises pp. 290-299

Malin Song, Hongshan Ai and Xie Li

Framing resource-constrained innovation at the ‘bottom of the pyramid’: Insights from an ethnographic case study in rural Bangladesh pp. 300-311

Mario Pansera and Richard Owen

Consumer perception of a new convergence product: A theoretical and empirical approach pp. 312-321

Misuk Lee and Youngsang Cho

Learning dependent subsidies for lithium-ion electric vehicle batteries pp. 322-331

Schuyler Matteson and Eric Williams

Patent databases for innovation studies: A comparative analysis of USPTO, EPO, JPO and KIPO pp. 332-345

Jeeeun Kim and Sungjoo Lee

Volume 91, issue C, 2015

Digital divides in the world and its regions: A spatial and multivariate analysis of technological utilization pp. 1-17

James B. Pick and Tetsushi Nishida

Innovation determinants over industry life cycle pp. 18-32

Sam Tavassoli

An emotional learning-neuro-fuzzy inference approach for optimum training and forecasting of gas consumption estimation models with cognitive data pp. 47-63

A. Azadeh, S.M. Asadzadeh, G.H. Mirseraji and M. Saberi

Evaluating simulation-derived scenarios for effective decision support pp. 64-77

Andrew M. Parker, Sinduja V. Srinivasan, Robert J. Lempert and Sandra H. Berry

Marketing insights for mobile advertising and consumer segmentation in the cloud era: A Q–R hybrid methodology and practices pp. 78-92

Ki Youn Kim and Bong Gyou Lee

The economics of mitigating climate change: What can we know? pp. 93-106

Richard A. Rosen and Edeltraud Guenther

Unified knowledge based economy hybrid forecasting pp. 107-123

Ahmad Al Shami, Ahmad Lotfi, Simeon Coleman and Petr Dostál

Detection of paradigm shifts and emerging fields using scientific network: A case study of Information Technology for Engineering pp. 124-145

Thara Prabhakaran, Hiran H. Lathabai and Manoj Changat

The moderating role of prior experience in technological acceptance models for ubiquitous computing services in urban environments pp. 146-160

M.R. Martínez-Torres, M.C. Díaz-Fernández, S.L. Toral and F. Barrero

Long-term energy scenarios: Bridging the gap between socio-economic storylines and energy modeling pp. 161-178

Patrícia Fortes, António Alvarenga, Júlia Seixas and Sofia Rodrigues

Examining open-endedness of expectations in emerging technological fields: The case of cellulosic ethanol pp. 179-193

Robin Gustafsson, Osmo Kuusi and Martin Meyer

The relevance of innovation leadership for environmental benefits: A firm-level empirical analysis on French firms pp. 194-207

Virgile Chassagnon and Naciba Haned

Factors for winning format battles: A comparative case study pp. 222-235

Geerten van de Kaa and Henk J. de Vries

Technological convergence and the absorptive capacity of standardisation pp. 236-249

Stephan Gauch and Knut Blind

Engendering stakeholder ownership in scenario planning pp. 250-263

Leon Soste, Q.J. Wang, David Robertson, Robert Chaffe, Selina Handley and Yongping Wei

Development of data-driven technology roadmap considering dependency: An ARM-based technology roadmapping pp. 264-279

Youngjung Geum, HyeonJeong Lee, Youngjo Lee and Yongtae Park

Exploring team performance in high-tech industries: Future trends of building up teamwork pp. 295-310

Min-Ling Liu, Na-Ting Liu, Cherng G. Ding and Chieh-Peng Lin

Biorefineries' impacts on the Austrian forest sector: A system dynamics approach pp. 311-326

Tobias Stern, Caroline Ledl, Martin Braun, Franziska Hesser and Peter Schwarzbauer

Scenarios of nanotechnology development and usage in Turkey pp. 327-340

Fatih Karaca and M. Atilla Öner

Literature-related discovery and innovation: Chronic kidney disease pp. 341-351

Ronald N. Kostoff and Uptal Patel