Technological Forecasting and Social Change

2012 - 2025

Current editor(s): Fred Phillips

From Elsevier
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Volume 151, issue C, 2020

Robust decision making and Epoch–Era analysis: A comparison of two robustness frameworks for decision-making under uncertainty

Enayat A. Moallemi, Sondoss Elsawah and Michael J. Ryan

Aligning integrated assessment modelling with socio-technical transition insights: An application to low-carbon energy scenario analysis in Europe

Mariësse A.E. van Sluisveld, Andries F. Hof, Samuel Carrara, Frank W. Geels, Måns Nilsson, Karoline Rogge, Bruno Turnheim and Detlef P. van Vuuren

Agricultural nature conservation in the Netherlands: Three lenses on transition pathways

Joyce V. Zwartkruis, Holger Berg, Andries F. Hof and Marcel T.J. Kok

Socio-technical scenarios as a methodological tool to explore social and political feasibility in low-carbon transitions: Bridging computer models and the multi-level perspective in UK electricity generation (2010–2050)

F.W. Geels, A. McMeekin and B. Pfluger

Transformative policy mixes in socio-technical scenarios: The case of the low-carbon transition of the German electricity system (2010–2050)

Karoline S. Rogge, Benjamin Pfluger and Frank W. Geels

A bridging framework for studying transition pathways – From systems models to local action in the Swedish heating domain

Måns Nilsson, Adis Dzebo, Georgia Savvidou and Katarina Axelsson

Searching for the right application: A technology development review and research agenda

Stefano Magistretti, Claudio Dell'Era and Roberto Verganti

Defensive Patent Aggregators as Shields against Patent Assertion Entities? Theoretical and Empirical Analysis

Seokbeom Kwon and Matej Drev

Low carbon transitions pathways in mobility: Applying the MLP in a combined case study and simulation bridging analysis of passenger transport in the Netherlands

Jonathan Köhler, Bruno Turnheim and Mike Hodson

Do political connections matter for firm innovation? Evidence from emerging markets in Central Asia and Eastern Europe

Sorin M.S. Krammer and Alfredo Jiménez

Linking institutional environment with technological change: The rise of China's flat panel display industry

Jiang Yu, Rui Liu and Feng Chen

Provincial cultivated land use efficiency in China: Empirical analysis based on the SBM-DEA model with carbon emissions considered

Bing Kuang, Xinhai Lu, Min Zhou and Danling Chen

The role of government in fostering collaborative R&D projects: Empirical evidence from South Korea

Sung Joo Bae and Hyeonsuh Lee

Multi-technology interaction in socio-technical transitions: How recent dynamics in HVDC technology can inform transition theories

Allan Dahl Andersen and Jochen Markard

Open innovation in science parks: The role of public policies

Sergio Evangelista Silva, Ana Venâncio, Joaquim Silva and Carlos Alberto Gonçalves

Job creation during the global energy transition towards 100% renewable power system by 2050

Manish Ram, Arman Aghahosseini and Christian Breyer

How to improve the competiveness of distributed energy resources in China with blockchain technology

Jianchao Hou, Che Wang and Sai Luo

Effective industrial policy implementation for open innovation: The role of government resources and capabilities

Sarah Lai-Yin Cheah and Yuen-Ping Ho

Actors, decision-making, and institutions in quantitative system modelling

Enrica De Cian, Shouro Dasgupta, Andries F. Hof, Mariësse A.E. van Sluisveld, Jonathan Köhler, Benjamin Pfluger and Detlef P. van Vuuren

Do government R&D subsidies stimulate collaboration initiatives in private firms?

Joon Mo Ahn, Weonvin Lee and Letizia Mortara

Open innovation at the national level: Towards a global innovation system

Sungjoo Lee, Hakyeon Lee and Changyong Lee

Multilevel institutional analyses of firm benefits from R&D collaboration

Prince C. Oguguo, Isabel Maria Bodas Freitas and Corine Genet

Measuring open innovation practices in small companies at important Brazilian industrial centers

Adriano Carlos Moraes Rosa, Carlos henrique Pereira Mello, Vanessa Cristhina Gatto Chimendes and Gabriela Fonseca Amorim

The joint effects of driving hedonism and trialability on the choice between internal combustion engine, hybrid, and electric vehicles

Anat Tchetchik, Liat I. Zvi, Sigal Kaplan and Vered Blass

Decoding China's natural gas development: A critical discourse analysis of the five-year plans

Zhongbing Zhou and Quande Qin

Technology learning and diffusion at the global and local scales: A modeling exercise in the REMIND model

Shuwei Zhang, Nico Bauer, Guangzhi Yin and Xi Xie

Anticipatory governance and moral imagination: Methodological insights from a scenario-based public deliberation study

P. Lehoux, F.A. Miller and B. Williams-Jones

Emerging platform urbanism in China: Reconfigurations of data, citizenship and materialities

Federico Caprotti and Dong Liu

Quantifying technological change as a combinatorial process

Pedro Parraguez, Stanko Škec, Duarte Oliveira e Carmo and Anja Maier

Incumbent-led transitions and civil society: Autonomous vehicle policy and consumer organizations in the United States

David J. Hess

Incubator specialization and size: Divergent paths towards operational scale

Magnus Klofsten, Erik Lundmark, Karl Wennberg and Nata Bank

Analysis and testing of electric car incentive scenarios in the Netherlands and Norway

Sebastiaan Deuten, Jonatan J. Gómez Vilchez and Christian Thiel

Is Bitcoin a currency, a technology-based product, or something else?

Reilly White, Yorgos Marinakis, Nazrul Islam and Steven Walsh

Sectorial study of technological progress and CO2 emission: Insights from a developing economy

Ali Nawaz Khan, Xie En, Muhammad Yousaf Raza, Naseer Abbas Khan and Ahsan Ali

Blockchain technology and startup financing: A transaction cost economics perspective

Saurabh Ahluwalia, Raj V. Mahto and Maribel Guerrero

Raising capital for the family firm for sustainability: Whence the advantage?

Dong Xiang, Yuming Zhang, Andrew Worthington and Yanchu Liu

Limits and longevity: A model for scenarios that influence the future

Adam Vigdor Gordon

The interplay among entrepreneur, employees, and firm level factors in explaining SMEs openness: A qualitative micro-foundational approach

Gabriele Santoro, Roberto Quaglia, Anna Claudia Pellicelli and Paola De Bernardi

Knowledge growth in university-industry innovation networks – Results from a simulation study

Chongfeng Mao, Xianyun Yu, Qing Zhou, Rainer Harms and Gang Fang

Logistics and the networked society: A conceptual framework for smart network business models using electric autonomous vehicles (EAVs)

Jason Monios and Rickard Bergqvist

Approaches for resilience and antifragility in collaborative business ecosystems

Javaneh Ramezani and Luis M. Camarinha-Matos

Expert biases in technology foresight. Why they are a problem and how to mitigate them

Andrea Bonaccorsi, Riccardo Apreda and Gualtiero Fantoni

Automation technologies: Long-term effects for Spanish industrial firms

Ester Camiña, Ángel Díaz-Chao and Joan Torrent-Sellens

Scenario presentation and scenario generation in multi-criteria assessments: An exploratory study

Camelia Ram

Consumers’ value co-creation in sharing economy: The role of social support, consumers’ ethical perceptions and relationship quality

Waqar Nadeem, Mari Juntunen, Farid Shirazi and Nick Hajli

Public attitude toward self-driving vehicles on public roads: Direct experience changed ambivalent people to be more positive

Peng Liu and Zhigang Xu

Understanding transition pathways by bridging modelling, transition and practice-based studies: Editorial introduction to the special issue

Andries F. Hof, Detlef P. van Vuuren, Frans Berkhout and Frank W. Geels

Exploring how experience and learning curves decrease the time invested in scenario planning interventions

R. Ramirez, Y. Bhatti and E. Tapinos

Opening the ‘black box’ of scenario planning through realist synthesis

David Frith and Efstathios Tapinos

The evolution of the financial technology ecosystem: An introduction and agenda for future research on disruptive innovations in ecosystems

Maximilian Palmié, Joakim Wincent, Vinit Parida and Umur Caglar

Matching the future capabilities of an artificial intelligence-based software for social media marketing with potential users’ expectations

Alexandru Capatina, Maher Kachour, Jessica Lichy, Adrian Micu, Angela-Eliza Micu and Federica Codignola

Moderating effect of firm size on the influence of corporate social responsibility in the economic performance of micro-, small- and medium-sized enterprises

Juan Pablo Sánchez-Infante Hernández, Benito Yañez-Araque and Juan Moreno-García

System dynamics modeling as a circular process: The smart commons approach to impact management

Francesca Ricciardi, Paola De Bernardi and Valter Cantino

Foreign patents surge and technology spillovers in China (1985–2009): Evidence from the patent and trade markets

Cai, Helen (Huifen), David Sarpong, Xiaoyun Tang and Guiqin Zhao

Alleviating the misallocation of R&D inputs in China's manufacturing sector: From the perspectives of factor-biased technological innovation and substitution elasticity

Zhenbing Yang, Shuai Shao, Chengyu Li and Lili Yang

Precision Medicine: Implications for value chains and business models in life sciences

Stefano Denicolai and Pietro Previtali

Energy-saving and carbon emission reduction effect of urban-industrial symbiosis implementation with feasibility analysis in the city

Lu Sun, Minoru Fujii, Zhaoling Li, Huijuan Dong, Yong Geng, Zhe Liu, Tsuyoshi Fujita, Xiaoman Yu and Yuepeng Zhang

The relationship between digitalization and servitization: The role of servitization in capturing the financial potential of digitalization

Marko Kohtamäki, Vinit Parida, Pankaj C. Patel and Heiko Gebauer

Necessary conditions for coordination of dual-channel closed-loop supply chain

Yanhong Yuan, Jinyao Yang, Yang Li and Wei Li

Constructing an integrated stakeholder-based participatory policy evaluation model for urban traffic restriction

Jia Shi, Ching-Hung Lee, Xuesong Guo and Zhengwei Zhu

Founder Personalities, Behaviors and New Venture Success in Sub-Saharan Africa

Lubna Rashid, Khaled Alzafari and Jan Kratzer

Knowledge based analysis of continental population and migration dynamics

Mustafa M. Aral

From global to national scenarios: Bridging different models to explore power generation decarbonisation based on insights from socio-technical transition case studies

Andries F. Hof, Samuel Carrara, Enrica De Cian, Benjamin Pfluger, Mariësse A.E. van Sluisveld, Harmen Sytze de Boer and Detlef P. van Vuuren

Is there a decoupling relationship between CO2 emission reduction and poverty alleviation in China?

Gui Jin, Baishu Guo and Xiangzheng Deng

Corrigendum to “Induced innovation in clean energy technologies from foreign environmental policy stringency?” Technological Forecasting & Social Change volume (147) 198– 207

Kyle S. Herman and Jun Xiang