Technological Forecasting and Social Change

2012 - 2025

Current editor(s): Fred Phillips

From Elsevier
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Volume 160, issue C, 2020

Conceptualising technology, its development and future: The six genres of technology

Stephen Harwood and Sally Eaves

Urban innovation and intercity patent collaboration: A network analysis of China’s national innovation system

Yao Li, Jun Li and Jian Li

Scenario structuring methodology for computer-aided scenario design: An application to envisioning sustainable futures

Yusuke Kishita, Yuji Mizuno, Shinichi Fukushige and Yasushi Umeda

Beyond land-use intensity: Assessing future global crop productivity growth under different socioeconomic pathways

Xiaoxi Wang, Jan P. Dietrich, Hermann Lotze-Campen, Anne Biewald, Miodrag Stevanović, Benjamin L. Bodirsky, Bernhard Brümmer and Alexander Popp

Innovation, lifestyle, policy and socioeconomic factors: An analysis of European quality of life

Rosa Puertas, Luisa Marti and José M. Guaita-Martinez

Uncovering the knowledge flows and intellectual structures of research in Technological Forecasting and Social Change: A journey through history

Shikhar Sarin, Christophe Haon, Mustapha Belkhouja, Alicia Mas-Tur, Norat Roig-Tierno, Trina Sego, Alan Porter, José M. Merigó and Stephen Carley

A political-economy analysis of the provision of urban anti-crime technologies in a model with three cities

Amitrajeet Batabyal, Karima Kourtit and Peter Nijkamp

Two scenarios for 5G deployment in Indonesia

Sahat Hutajulu, Wawan Dhewanto and Eko Agus Prasetio

Does China's carbon regulatory policy improve total factor carbon efficiency? A fixed-effect panel stochastic frontier analysis

Xiujie Tan, Yongrok Choi, Banban Wang and Xiaoqi Huang

Empirical analysis of the synergy of the three sectors’ development and labor employment

YingYing Ding, Zheng Li, Xiaojun Ge and Yu Hu

Does distribution of energy innovation impact distribution of income: A quantile-based SDG modeling approach

Avik Sinha, Tuhin Sengupta, Olga Kalugina and Muhammad Awais Gulzar

Discovering the potential opportunities of scientific advancement and technological innovation: A case study of smart health monitoring technology

Yung-Chi Shen, Ming-Yeu Wang and Ya-Chu Yang

Modelling the impact of climate change risk on bioethanol supply chains

Abhijeet Ghadge, Sjoerd van der Werf, Merve Er Kara, Mohit Goswami, Pankaj Kumar and Michael Bourlakis

Intellectual capital disclosure in integrated reports: The effect on firm value

Antonio Salvi, Filippo Vitolla, Anastasia Giakoumelou, Nicola Raimo and Michele Rubino

How global warming alters future maize yield and water use efficiency in China

Yujie Liu, Jie Zhang and Ya Qin

Social entrepreneurship orientation and company success: The mediating role of social performance

Nazha Gali, Thomas Niemand, Eleanor Shaw, Mathew Hughes, Sascha Kraus and Alexander Brem

Global mortality benefits of COVID-19 action

Sunbin Yoo and Shunsuke Managi

Does product complexity matter for firms' TFP?

Shu Guan and Liwei Cheng

Obtaining certainty vs. creating uncertainty: Does firms’ patent filing strategy work as expected?

Gupeng Zhang, Libin Xiong, Hongbo Duan and Dujuan Huang

Leveraging inter-industry spillovers through DIY laboratories: Entrepreneurship and innovation in the global bicycle industry

Peter Galvin, Nicholas Burton and Richard Nyuur

Technology adoption and entrepreneurial orientation for rural women: Evidence from India

Susmita Chatterjee, Sangita Dutta Gupta and Parijat Upadhyay

Managing institutional diversity and structural holes: Network configurations for recombinant innovation

Francesca Mariotti and Sajjad Haider

Digital protection and inheritance of ancient villages in southwest minority areas under the strategy of rural revitalization

Zhi Meng Huang and Yan Min Liang

War is good for business. Or is it? …

Lee David Zlotoff

What do adoption patterns of solar panels observed so far tell about governments’ incentive? Insights from diffusion models

Anita M. Bunea, Pompeo Della Posta, Mariangela Guidolin and Piero Manfredi

Trends in aviation: rebound effect and the struggle composites x aluminum

Tessaleno Devezas

Information assets: A typology of disclosed and non-disclosed information

Sergio Camisón-Haba and Tomás González-Cruz

Transitions governance with a sense of direction: synchronization challenges in the case of the dutch ‘Driverless Car’ transition

Bonno Pel, Rob Raven and Rinie van Est

Assessing the role of technology in global manufacturing energy intensity change: A production-theoretical decomposition analysis

Hui Wang, Rupeng Li, Ning Zhang, Peng Zhou and Qiang Wang

Bridging the gap between circular economy and climate change mitigation policies through eco-innovations and Quintuple Helix Model

Gemma Durán-Romero, Ana M. López, Tatiana Beliaeva, Marcos Ferasso, Christophe Garonne and Paul Jones

Balancing innovation and exploitation in the fourth industrial revolution: Role of intellectual capital and technology absorptive capacity

Tarique Mahmood and Muhammad Shujaat Mubarik

How the effect of opportunity discovery on innovation outcome differs between DIY laboratories and public research institutes: The role of industry turbulence and knowledge generation in the case of Singapore

Sarah Lai-Yin Cheah, Yuen-Ping Ho and Shiyu Li

Exploring how social interactions influence regulators and innovators: The case of regulatory sandboxes

Ahmad Alaassar, Anne-Laure Mention and Tor Helge Aas

Corporate social responsibility and environmental performance: The mediating role of environmental strategy and green innovation

Sascha Kraus, Shafique Ur Rehman and F. Javier Sendra García

The struggle SARS-CoV-2 vs. homo sapiens–Why the earth stood still, and how will it keep moving on?

Tessaleno Devezas

The effects of air transportation, energy, ICT and FDI on economic growth in the industry 4.0 era: Evidence from the United States

Festus Fatai Adedoyin, Festus Bekun, Oana M. Driha and Daniel Balsalobre-Lorente

Volume 159, issue C, 2020

Emerging green technologies for vehicle propulsion systems

Alex Fabianne de Paulo, Breno Nunes and Geciane Porto

Special contributions

Fred Phillips and U.N. Umesh

Measuring tech emergence: A contest

Alan L. Porter, Denise Chiavetta and Nils C. Newman

How university-based principal investigators shape a hybrid role identity

Conor O'Kane, Vincent Mangematin, Jing A. Zhang and James A. Cunningham

Reshaping competitive advantages with analytics capabilities in service systems

Shahriar Akter, Angappa Gunasekaran, Samuel Fosso Wamba, Mujahid Mohiuddin Babu and Umme Hani

Waiting time in two-sided platforms: The case of the airport industry

M. Mahdi Tavalaei

Can Bitcoin hedge the risks of geopolitical events?

Chi-Wei Su, Meng Qin, Ran Tao, Xue-Feng Shao, Lucian Albu and Muhammad Umar

The role of NPOs and international actors in the national innovation system: A network-based approach

Nieves Arranz, Marta F. Arroyabe and Martin Schumann

Can education as an ‘International Commodity’ be the backbone or cane of a nation in the era of fourth industrial revolution? - A Comparative study

Gazi Mahabubul Alam, Abdur Rahman Forhad and Ismi Arif Ismail

Programmers' de-anonymization using a hybrid approach of abstract syntax tree and deep learning

Farhan Ullah, Sohail Jabbar and Fadi Al-Turjman

Rethinking the choice of carbon tax and carbon trading in China

Zhijie Jia and Boqiang Lin

Diversification in the age of the 4th industrial revolution: The role of artificial intelligence, green bonds and cryptocurrencies

Toan Huynh, Erik Hille and Muhammad Ali Nasir

The licensing and selling of inventions by US universities

Federico Caviggioli, Antonio De Marco, Fabio Montobbio and Elisa Ughetto

Comparative analysis of urban ecological management models incorporating low-carbon transformation

Chao Wang, Jinyan Zhan and Zhongling Xin

Riding the Wave of Crypto-Exuberance: The Potential Misusage of Corporate Blockchain Announcements

Erdinç Akyildirim, Shaen Corbet, Douglas Cumming, Brian Lucey and Ahmet Sensoy

Do-It-Yourself laboratories and attitude toward use: The effects of self-efficacy and the perception of security and privacy

Jeewhan Yoon, Nicholas S. Vonortas and SungWon Han

Business model design for novel technologies in nascent industries: An investigation of 3D printing service providers

Patrick Holzmann, Robert J. Breitenecker, Erich J. Schwarz and Patrick Gregori

Can economic structural change and transition explain cross-country differences in innovative activity?

Cong Wang and Yifan Lu

Asymmetric correlation and hedging effectiveness of gold & cryptocurrencies: From pre-industrial to the 4th industrial revolution✰

Natthinee Thampanya, Muhammad Ali Nasir and Toan Huynh

SMEs embedded in collaborative innovation networks: How to measure their absorptive capacity?

Lamiae Benhayoun-Sadafiyine, Marie-Anne Le Dain, Carine Dominguez-Péry and Andrew C. Lyons

Backwardness advantage and economic growth in the information age: A cross-country empirical study

Khuong Vu and Simplice Asongu

Analysis of the carbon emission reduction potential of China's key industries under the IPCC 2 °C and 1.5 °C limits

Feng Wu, Ningyu Huang, Fan Zhang, Lulu Niu and Yali Zhang

Impact of open innovation on industries and firms – A dynamic complex systems view

Abhijit Sengupta and Vania Sena

Does the private university sector exploit sustainable residential life in the name of supporting the fourth industrial revolution?

Gazi Mahabubul Alam, Abul Al-Amin, Abdur Rahman Forhad and Muhammad Shujaat Mubarak

Misinformation sharing and social media fatigue during COVID-19: An affordance and cognitive load perspective

A.K.M. Najmul Islam, Samuli Laato, Shamim Talukder and Erkki Sutinen

Industrial robots, employment growth, and labor cost: A simultaneous equation analysis

Jin Hwa Jung and Dong-Geon Lim

An Industry 4.0 maturity model for machine tool companies

Lizarralde Dorronsoro Rafael, Ganzarain Epelde Jaione, López Cristina and Serrano Lasa Ibon

The use of biotechnologies in textile processing and environmental sustainability: An emerging market context

Mahfuzur Rahman, Md Morsaline Billah, Dieu Hack-Polay and Ashraful Alam

The business model of Do-It-Yourself (DIY) laboratories – A triple-layered perspective

Weimu You, Weifeng Chen, Michael Agyapong and Chima Mordi

Scenario planning and foresight: Advancing theory and improving practice

George Wright, Frances O'Brien, Maureen Meadows, Efstathios Tapinos and Neil Pyper