Technological Forecasting and Social Change

2012 - 2025

Current editor(s): Fred Phillips

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Volume 106, issue C, 2016

Technological convergence in standards for information and communication technologies pp. 1-10

Eun Jin Han and So Young Sohn

Analyzing interdependencies between policy mixes and technological innovation systems: The case of offshore wind in Germany pp. 11-21

Kristin Reichardt, Simona O. Negro, Karoline S. Rogge and Marko P. Hekkert

Divergent effects of external financing on technology innovation activity: Korean evidence pp. 22-30

Seokchin Kim, Hyunchul Lee and Joongi Kim

Changing attitudes towards e-mobility by actively elaborating fast-charging technology pp. 31-36

Fabian Gebauer, Roman Vilimek, Andreas Keinath and Claus-Christian Carbon

Application of the grey Lotka–Volterra model to forecast the diffusion and competition analysis of the TV and smartphone industries pp. 37-44

Hsi-Tse Wang and Ta-Chung Wang

The diffusion of mobile telephony in Kazakhstan: An empirical analysis pp. 45-52

Azamat Sultanov, Deok-Joo Lee, Kyung-Taek Kim and Luz Angelica Pirir Avila

Stochastic technology life cycle analysis using multiple patent indicators pp. 53-64

Changyong Lee, Juram Kim, Ohjin Kwon and Han-Gyun Woo

The future of public participation: Empirical analysis from the viewpoint of policy-makers pp. 65-73

Sascha Alexander Wagner, Sebastian Vogt and Rüdiger Kabst

Simulating user learning in authoritative technology adoption: An agent based model for council-led smart meter deployment planning in the UK pp. 74-84

Tao Zhang, Peer-Olaf Siebers and Uwe Aickelin

Three experiments: The exploration of unknown unknowns in foresight pp. 85-100

Leena Ilmola and Elena Rovenskaya

How to catch the generation Y: Identifying consumers of ecological innovations among youngsters pp. 101-107

Sebastian Gurtner and Katja Soyez

The sustainable competitiveness of nations pp. 108-114

Sten Thore and Ruzanna Tarverdyan

Volume 105, issue C, 2016

Identification of the technology life cycle of telematics: A patent-based analytical perspective pp. 1-10

Shu-Hao Chang and Chin-Yuan Fan

Navigating uncharted waters: A multidimensional conceptualisation of exporting electronic waste pp. 11-19

Joseph Amankwah-Amoah

Global business and emerging economies: Towards a new perspective on the effects of e-waste pp. 20-26

Joseph Amankwah-Amoah

Subject–action–object-based morphology analysis for determining the direction of technological change pp. 27-40

Junfang Guo, Xuefeng Wang, Qianrui Li and Donghua Zhu

Investigating sustainability parameters of administrative buildings in Saudi Arabia pp. 41-48

Khalid Al-Gahtani, Ibrahim Alsulaihi, Mostafa El-Hawary and Mohamed Marzouk

Market share dynamics using Lotka–Volterra models pp. 49-62

A. Marasco, A. Picucci and A. Romano

Biases in future-oriented Delphi studies: A cognitive perspective pp. 63-76

Jens Winkler and Roger Moser

Will the momentum of the electric car last? Testing an hypothesis on disruptive innovation pp. 77-88

Marc Dijk, Peter Wells and Rene Kemp

Latent heterogeneity effects in modelling individual hazards: A non-proportional approach pp. 89-93

Renato Guseo

Product opportunity identification based on internal capabilities using text mining and association rule mining pp. 94-104

Wonchul Seo, Janghyeok Yoon, Hyunseok Park, Byoung-youl Coh, Jae-Min Lee and Oh-Jin Kwon

Applied artificial intelligence and trust—The case of autonomous vehicles and medical assistance devices pp. 105-120

Monika Hengstler, Ellen Enkel and Selina Duelli

National culture and innovation diffusion. Exploratory insights from agent-based modeling pp. 121-128

Benoît Desmarchelier and Eddy Fang

A transition scenario for leapfrogging to a sustainable urban water future in Port Vila, Vanuatu pp. 129-139

Michael S. Poustie, Niki Frantzeskaki and Rebekah R. Brown

Quantifying technology–industry spillover effects based on patent citation network analysis of unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) pp. 140-157

Dong Ha Kim, Bo Kyeong Lee and So Young Sohn

Key ideas from a 25-year collaboration at technological forecasting & social change pp. 158-166

Fred Phillips and Hal Linstone

Forecasting new product diffusion with agent-based models pp. 167-178

Yu Xiao and Jingti Han

Topic analysis and forecasting for science, technology and innovation: Methodology with a case study focusing on big data research pp. 179-191

Yi Zhang, Guangquan Zhang, Hongshu Chen, Alan L. Porter, Donghua Zhu and Jie Lu

A methodology to enable exploratory thinking in strategic planning pp. 192-202

Shirin Malekpour, Fjalar J. de Haan and Rebekah R. Brown

Networked by design: Can policy requirements influence organisations' networking behaviour? pp. 203-214

Federica Rossi, Annalisa Caloffi and Margherita Russo

Bounding US electricity demand in 2050 pp. 215-223

Vanessa J. Schweizer and M. Granger Morgan

Volume 104, issue C, 2016

Social capital to facilitate ‘engineered’ university–industry collaboration for technology transfer: A dynamic perspective pp. 1-15

Omar Al-Tabbaa and Samuel Ankrah

Identification and monitoring of possible disruptive technologies by patent-development paths and topic modeling pp. 16-29

Abdolreza Momeni and Katja Rost

Futures of distributed small-scale renewable energy in Finland — A Delphi study of the opportunities and obstacles up to 2025 pp. 30-37

Vilja Varho, Pasi Rikkonen and Saija Rasi

Architecting complex international science, technology and innovation partnerships (CISTIPs): A study of four global MIT collaborations pp. 38-56

Sebastian M. Pfotenhauer, Danielle Wood, Dan Roos and Dava Newman

Overcoming the false dichotomy between internal R&D and external knowledge acquisition: Absorptive capacity dynamics over time pp. 57-65

Stefano Denicolai, Matias Ramirez and Joe Tidd

Diffusion of science-based inventions pp. 66-77

Jan Hohberger

Advancing the State of Policy Delphi Practice: A Systematic Review Evaluating Methodological Evolution, Innovation, and Opportunities pp. 78-88

Rob C. de Loë, Natalya Melnychuk, Dan Murray and Ryan Plummer

Grid parity in tidal stream energy projects: An assessment of financial, technological and economic LCOE input parameters pp. 89-101

A. Vazquez and G. Iglesias

Technology life-cycles in the energy sector — Technological characteristics and the role of deployment for innovation pp. 102-121

Joern Huenteler, Tobias S. Schmidt, Jan Ossenbrink and Volker H. Hoffmann

Buyers in the patent auction market: Opening the black box of patent acquisitions by non-practicing entities pp. 122-132

Federico Caviggioli and Elisa Ughetto

A system dynamics based market agent model simulating future powertrain technology transition: Scenarios in the EU light duty vehicle road transport sector pp. 133-146

Guzay Pasaoglu, Gillian Harrison, Lee Jones, Andrew Hill, Alexandre Beaudet and Christian Thiel

Biofuels: A sustainable choice for the United States' energy future? pp. 147-161

Jennifer L. Trumbo and Bruce E. Tonn

An integrated scenario-based robust planning approach for foresight and strategic management with application to energy industry pp. 162-171

Reza Alizadeh, Peter D. Lund, Ali Beynaghi, Mahdi Abolghasemi and Reza Maknoon

The impact of entrepreneurship education on the entrepreneurial intention of students in science and engineering versus business studies university programs pp. 172-179

Daniela Maresch, Rainer Harms, Norbert Kailer and Birgit Wimmer-Wurm

Weak signals and damage scenarios — Systematics to identify weak signals and their sources related to mass transport attacks pp. 180-190

Raija Koivisto, Ilpo Kulmala and Nadezhda Gotcheva

Something good and something bad in R&D teams: Effects of social identification and dysfunctional behavior pp. 191-199

Chieh-Peng Lin, Yuan-Hui Tsai and Min-Ling Liu

Understanding current and future issues in collaborative consumption: A four-stage Delphi study pp. 200-211

Stuart J. Barnes and Jan Mattsson

The effects of forward and reverse engineering on firm innovation performance in the stages of technology catch-up: An empirical study of China pp. 212-222

Gupeng Zhang and Jianghua Zhou

Low-carbon innovation and technology transfer in latecomer countries: Insights from solar PV in the clean development mechanism pp. 223-236

Adrian Lema and Rasmus Lema

Quantitative empirical trends in technical performance pp. 237-246

C.L. Magee, S. Basnet, J.L. Funk and C.L. Benson

A method for defining a regional software ecosystem strategy: Colombia as a case study pp. 247-258

Xabier Larrucea, Felix Nanclares and Izaskun Santamaria

Forecasting technology substitution based on hazard function pp. 259-272

Yujin Jeong, Inchae Park and Byungun Yoon