Technological Forecasting and Social Change

2012 - 2025

Current editor(s): Fred Phillips

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Volume 147, issue C, 2019

Rethinking intellectual property rights in the cognitive and digital age of capitalism: An autonomist Marxist reading pp. 1-9

Emrah Karakilic

Faculty ideals and universities' third mission pp. 10-21

Mark Freel, Ajax Persaud and Tyler Chamberlin

Technological antecedents of entrepreneurship and its consequences for organizational performance pp. 22-35

Rodrigo Martin-Rojas, Victor J. Garcia-Morales and Nuria Gonzalez-Alvarez

Low carbon futures: Confronting electricity challenges on island systems pp. 36-50

George Matthew, William Nuttall, Ben Mestel and Laurence S. Dooley

Many or trusted partners for eco-innovation? The influence of breadth and depth of firms' knowledge network in the food sector pp. 51-62

Ángela González-Moreno, Angela Triguero Cano and Francisco José Sáez-Martínez

Embracing technology? Health and Social Care professionals' attitudes to the deployment of e-Health initiatives in elder care services in Catalonia and Ireland pp. 63-71

Luciana Lolich, Isabella Riccò, Blanca Deusdad and Virpi Timonen

Improving the practical application of the Delphi method in group-based judgment: A six-step prescription for a well-founded and defensible process pp. 72-82

Ian Belton, Alice MacDonald, George Wright and Iain Hamlin

Diffusion of alternative fuel vehicles considering dynamic preferences pp. 83-99

Gabriela D. Oliveira, Richard Roth and Luis Dias

Business, innovation and digital ecosystems landscape survey and knowledge cross sharing pp. 100-109

Ranjit Gupta, Cristian Mejia and Yuya Kajikawa

The role of prices and network effects in the growth of the iPhone platform pp. 110-122

Daniel D. Garcia-Swartz, Mensur Muhamedagić and Diana Saenz

Diversification and performance in the mobile app market: The role of the platform ecosystem pp. 123-139

Paolo Roma and Maria Vasi

Do science parks sustain or trigger innovation? Empirical evidence from Italy pp. 140-151

Nicoletta Corrocher, Francesco Lamperti and Roberto Mavilia

A revised perspective on innovation policy for renewal of mature economies – Historical evidence from finance and telecommunications in Sweden 1980–1990 pp. 152-162

Klas Eriksson, Mirko Ernkvist, Christofer Laurell, Jerker Moodysson, Rasmus Nykvist and Christian Sandström

A choice-based diffusion model for multi-generation and multi-country data pp. 163-173

Hyungsoo Lim, Duk Bin Jun and Mohsen Hamoudia

Convergence of innovation policies in the European aerospace industry (1960–2000) pp. 174-184

Matteo Landoni and Dt Ogilvie

An incentive mechanism for general purpose technologies R&D based on the concept of super-conflict equilibrium: Empirical evidence from nano industrial technology in China pp. 185-197

Yong Liu, Jun-liang Du, Jin-bi Yang, Wu-yong Qian and Jeffrey Yi-Lin Forrest

Induced innovation in clean energy technologies from foreign environmental policy stringency? pp. 198-207

Kyle S. Herman and Jun Xiang

Impact of government policies on private R&D investment in agricultural biotechnology: Evidence from chemical and pesticide firms in China pp. 208-215

Haiyan Deng, Ruifa Hu, Carl Pray and Yanhong Jin

The optimal provision of information and communication technologies in smart cities pp. 216-220

Amitrajeet Batabyal and Hamid Beladi

Quantitative analysis for a better-focused international STI collaboration policy: A case of BRICS pp. 221-242

Alexander Sokolov, Sergey Shashnov, Maxim Kotsemir and Anna Grebenyuk

Universities' institutional settings and academic entrepreneurship: Notes from a developing country pp. 243-252

Bruno Brandão Fischer, Gustavo Hermínio Salati Marcondes de Moraes and Paola Rücker Schaeffer

Volume 146, issue C, 2019

Rethinking the national defense R&D innovation system for latecomer: Defense R&D governance matrix pp. 1-11

Jun Gon Lee and Min Jae Park

A social licence for the sharing economy pp. 12-23

Alex Baumber, Moira Scerri and Stephen Schweinsberg

Digital transformation and the renewal of social theory: Unpacking the new fraudulent myths and misplaced metaphors pp. 24-30

Marinus Ossewaarde

The fractal geometry of Luhmann's sociological theory or debugging systems theory pp. 31-40

José Javier Blanco Rivero

A hybrid PSO-SVM model based on clustering algorithm for short-term atmospheric pollutant concentration forecasting pp. 41-54

Shuixia Chen, Jian-qiang Wang and Hong-yu Zhang

Chat now… Examining the variables influencing the use of online live chat pp. 55-67

Graeme McLean and Kofi Osei-Frimpong

Evolution of innovation system literature: Intellectual bases and emerging trends pp. 68-80

Ebrahim Souzanchi Kashani and Saeed Roshani

Will computers revolt? pp. 81-87

Charles J. Simon

Digital transformation of social theory. A research update pp. 88-93

Steffen Roth

Blockchain-based platforms: Decentralized infrastructures and its boundary conditions pp. 94-102

Joana Pereira, M. Mahdi Tavalaei and Hakan Ozalp

Impact of the InnoCom program on corporate innovation performance in China: Evidence from Shanghai pp. 103-118

Chuanmin Zhao, Xi Qu and Shougui Luo

Driving forces and barriers of Industry 4.0: Do multinational and small and medium-sized companies have equal opportunities? pp. 119-132

Dóra Horváth and Roland Zs. Szabó

Identification of the unique attributes and topics within Smart Things Open Innovation Communities pp. 133-147

M. Olmedilla, H. Send and S.L. Toral

Triggering technological innovation through cross-border mergers and acquisitions: A micro-foundational perspective pp. 148-166

Michael Christofi, Demetris Vrontis, Alkis Thrassou and S.M. Riad Shams

Digitally forecasting new music product success via active crowdsourcing pp. 167-180

Dennis M. Steininger and Simon Gatzemeier

Evaluating university industry collaborative research centers pp. 181-202

Elizabeth Gibson, Tugrul U. Daim and Marina Dabic

Environmental ethics, environmental performance, and competitive advantage: Role of environmental training pp. 203-211

Sanjay Kumar Singh, Jin Chen, Manlio Del Giudice and Abdul-Nasser El-Kassar

ICT, total factor productivity, and carbon dioxide emissions in Tunisia pp. 212-217

Fethi Amri, Ben Zaied Younes and Bechir Ben Lahouel

Crowdfunding motivations: A focus on donors' perspectives pp. 218-232

Afsaneh Bagheri, Hasti Chitsazan and Ashkan Ebrahimi

R&D tax credits and firm innovation: Evidence from China pp. 233-241

Ling Chen and Wenhui Yang

Exploring the microfoundations of innovation capabilities. Evidence from a cross-border R&D partnership pp. 242-252

Alice Mazzucchelli, Roberto Chierici, Tindara Abbate and Stefano Fontana

Halving energy demand from buildings: The impact of low consumption practices pp. 253-266

Antoine Levesque, Robert C. Pietzcker and Gunnar Luderer

Austin, Boston, Silicon Valley, and New York: Case studies in the location choices of entrepreneurs in maintaining the Technopolis pp. 267-280

Bryan Stephens, John Sibley Butler, Rajiv Garg and David V. Gibson

Defining the roadmap towards city resilience pp. 281-296

Leire Labaka, Patricia Maraña, Raquel Giménez and Josune Hernantes

Do green technology innovations contribute to carbon dioxide emission reduction? Empirical evidence from patent data pp. 297-303

Kerui Du, Pengzhen Li and Zheming Yan

China's organization and governance of innovation – A policy foresight perspective pp. 304-319

Peijie Wang and Fan Li

Affective organizational commitment in global strategic partnerships: The role of individual-level microfoundations and social change pp. 320-330

Arsalan Mujahid Ghouri, Pervaiz Akhtar, Muhammad Shahbaz and Haseeb Shabbir

People, information and culture: Locating forms of capital by Afghan Sikh refugees in India through ICTs pp. 331-338

Shelly Pandey and P. Vigneswara Ilavarasan

A deep learning methodology for automatic extraction and discovery of technical intelligence pp. 339-351

Jianguo Xu, Lixiang Guo, Jiang Jiang, Bingfeng Ge and Mengjun Li

The change of pediatric surgery practice due to the emergence of connected health technologies pp. 352-365

Riikka Niemelä, Minna Pikkarainen, Mari Ervasti and Jarmo Reponen

Grey-based Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis approach: Addressing uncertainty at complex decision problems pp. 366-379

Hesham F. Maghrabie, Yvan Beauregard and Andrea Schiffauerova

Inequality, information technology and inclusive education in sub-Saharan Africa pp. 380-389

Simplice Asongu, Stella-Maris I. Orim and Rexon Nting

Green growth – A synthesis of scientific findings pp. 390-402

Marco Capasso, Teis Hansen, Jonas Heiberg, Antje Klitkou and Markus Steen

Stimulating technological innovation through incentives: Perceptions of Australian and Brazilian firms pp. 403-412

Tan Yigitcanlar, Jamile Sabatini-Marques, Eduardo Moreira da-Costa, Md Kamruzzaman and Giuseppe Ioppolo

Behind the scenes: Understanding the socio-technical barriers to BIM adoption through the theoretical lens of information systems research pp. 413-431

Thuy Duong Oesterreich and Frank Teuteberg

Forecasting technology trends using text mining of the gaps between science and technology: The case of perovskite solar cell technology pp. 432-449

Xin Li, Qianqian Xie, Tugrul Daim and Lucheng Huang

The influence of public R&D and knowledge spillovers on the development of renewable energy sources: The case of the Nordic countries pp. 450-463

I. Miremadi, Y. Saboohi and M. Arasti

The role of inter-sectoral learning in knowledge development and diffusion: Case studies on three clean energy technologies pp. 464-487

Abhishek Malhotra, Tobias S. Schmidt and Joern Huenteler

How to publish your research in Technological Forecasting & Social Change pp. 488-490

Fred Phillips

Society-nature-technology (SNT) nexus: Institutional causes and cures of national morbidities pp. 491-503

Tariq H. Malik

Three senses of paradigm in scenario methodology: A preliminary framework and systematic approach for using intuitive logics scenarios to change mental models and improve strategic decision-making in situations of discontinuity pp. 504-516

Rebecca Wayland

The communicative constitution of academic fields in the digital age: The case of CSR pp. 517-533

Matthias Wenzel and Matthias Georg Will

The role of a business model in market growth: The difference between the converted industry and the emerging industry pp. 534-562

JinHyo Joseph Yun, DongKyu Won, KyungBae Park, EuiSeob Jeong and Xiaofei Zhao

Establishing open innovation culture in cluster initiatives: The role of trust and information asymmetry pp. 563-572

Volker Nestle, Florian Täube, Sven Heidenreich and Marcel Bogers

Open innovation in SMEs: Exploring inter-organizational relationships in an ecosystem pp. 573-587

Agnieszka Radziwon and Marcel Bogers

Horizon scanning in policy research database with a probabilistic topic model pp. 588-594

Hyunuk Kim, Sang-Jin Ahn and Woo-Sung Jung

Monitoring patterns of open innovation using the patent-based brokerage analysis pp. 595-605

Yongyoon Suh and Jeonghwan Jeon

Employment effect of innovation under different market structures: Findings from Korean manufacturing firms pp. 606-615

Jisun Lim and Keun Lee

Place making for innovation and knowledge-intensive activities: The Australian experience pp. 616-625

Surabhi Pancholi, Tan Yigitcanlar and Mirko Guaralda

Forecasting technical emergence: An introduction pp. 626-627

Yi Zhang, Alan Porter, Denise Chiavetta, Nils C. Newman and Ying Guo

Emergence scoring to identify frontier R&D topics and key players pp. 628-643

Alan L. Porter, Jon Garner, Stephen F. Carley and Nils C. Newman

Early identification of important patents: Design and validation of citation network metrics pp. 644-654

Manuel Sebastian Mariani, Matúš Medo and François Lafond

Identifying emerging Research and Business Development (R&BD) areas based on topic modeling and visualization with intellectual property right data pp. 655-672

Yujin Jeong, Inchae Park and Byungun Yoon

Searching for new breakthroughs in science: How effective are computerised detection algorithms? pp. 673-686

J.J. Winnink, Robert J.W. Tijssen and A.F.J. van Raan

Identifying and monitoring the development trends of emerging technologies using patent analysis and Twitter data mining: The case of perovskite solar cell technology pp. 687-705

Xin Li, Qianqian Xie, Jiaojiao Jiang, Yuan Zhou and Lucheng Huang

Identifying first signals of emerging dominance in a technological innovation system: A novel approach based on patents pp. 706-722

Sanford Berg, M. Wustmans and Stefanie Bröring

An approach to identify emergent topics of technological convergence: A case study for 3D printing pp. 723-732

Zhinan Wang, Alan L. Porter, Xuefeng Wang and Stephen Carley

Innovation pathways in additive manufacturing: Methods for tracing emerging and branching paths from rapid prototyping to alternative applications pp. 733-750

Douglas K.R. Robinson, Axel Lagnau and Wouter P.C. Boon

Identifying technology convergence in the field of robotics research pp. 751-766

Toshihiro Kose and Ichiro Sakata

Identifying translational indicators and technology opportunities for nanomedical research using tech mining: The case of gold nanostructures pp. 767-775

Jing Ma, Natalie F. Abrams, Alan L. Porter, Donghua Zhu and Dorothy Farrell

Technological speciation as a source for emerging technologies. Using semantic patent analysis for the case of camera technology pp. 776-784

Martin G. Moehrle and Hüseyin Caferoglu

Tracing the system transformations and innovation pathways of an emerging technology: Solid lipid nanoparticles pp. 785-794

Xiao Zhou, Lu Huang, Alan Porter and Jose M. Vicente-Gomila

Discovering and forecasting interactions in big data research: A learning-enhanced bibliometric study pp. 795-807

Yi Zhang, Ying Huang, Alan L. Porter, Guangquan Zhang and Jie Lu

A method for anticipating the disruptive nature of digitalization in the machine-building industry pp. 808-819

Matti Sommarberg and Saku J. Mäkinen

Examining the dynamics of an emerging research network using the case of triboelectric nanogenerators pp. 820-830

Arho Suominen, Haoshu Peng and Samira Ranaei

An assessment of technology forecasting: Revisiting earlier analyses on dye-sensitized solar cells (DSSCs) pp. 831-843

Ying Huang, Alan L. Porter, Yi Zhang, Xiangpeng Lian and Ying Guo

Different patterns in the evolution of digital and non-digital ventures' business models pp. 844-852

Marc König, Christina Ungerer, Guido Baltes and Orestis Terzidis

Changing trends in internet startup value propositions, from the perspective of the customer pp. 853-864

Huong Van Le and Min-ho Suh

Strategic learning for digital market pioneering: Examining the transformation of Wishberry's crowdfunding model pp. 865-876

Gaurav Gupta and Indranil Bose

Digital entrepreneurship and field conditions for institutional change– Investigating the enabling role of cities pp. 877-886

Andrea Geissinger, Christofer Laurell, Christian Sandström, Klas Eriksson and Rasmus Nykvist

Digital subsistence entrepreneurs on Facebook pp. 887-899

Eva Delacroix, Béatrice Parguel and Florence Benoit-Moreau

Digital academic entrepreneurship: The potential of digital technologies on academic entrepreneurship pp. 900-911

Pierluigi Rippa and Giustina Secundo

“To boldly go where no [man] has gone before” - Institutional voids and the development of women's digital entrepreneurship11The title is taken from the original titles voice-over for the TV series Star Trek from launch in 1966 to 1987:Space: The final frontierThese are the voyages of the Starship, EnterpriseIts 5 year missionTo explore strange new worldsTo seek out new life and new civilizationsTo boldly go where no man has gone beforeThe phrase appears to have its origins in a paper prepared by the Presidential Science Advisory Committee (1958), which referred to the ‘compelling urge of man to explore and to discover, the thrust of curiosity that leads men to try to go where no one has gone before’. In 1987 with Star Trek: The Next Generation the wording was changed to ‘… where no one has gone before’ [in response to accusations of sexism] pp. 912-922

Maura McAdam, Caren Crowley and Richard T. Harrison

Moving a mountain with a teaspoon: Toward a theory of digital entrepreneurship in the regulatory environment pp. 923-930

John Qi Dong

Mobile payment is not all the same: The adoption of mobile payment systems depending on the technology applied pp. 931-944

Iviane Ramos de Luna, Francisco Liébana-Cabanillas, Juan Sánchez-Fernández and Francisco Muñoz-Leiva

Digital startups and the adoption and implementation of Lean Startup Approaches: Effectuation, Bricolage and Opportunity Creation in practice pp. 945-960

Antonio Ghezzi