The AXIOM approach for probabilistic and causal modeling with expert elicited inputs

Juha Panula-Ontto

Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2019, vol. 138, issue C, 292-308

Abstract: Expert informants can be used as the principal information source in the modeling of socio-techno-economic systems or problems to support planning, foresight and decision-making. Such modeling is theory-driven, grounded in expert judgment and understanding, and can be contrasted with data-driven modeling approaches. Several families of approaches exist to enable expert elicited systems modeling with varying input information requirements and analytical ambitions.

Keywords: Systems modeling; Modeling techniques; Decision support; Cross-impact analysis; Belief networks; Expert elicitation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:138:y:2019:i:c:p:292-308

DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2018.10.006

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