Measuring tech emergence: A contest

Alan L. Porter, Denise Chiavetta and Nils C. Newman

Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2020, vol. 159, issue C

Abstract: We conducted a contest to predict highly active research topics. Participants analyzed ten years of Web of Science abstract records in a target technological domain (synthetic biology) so as to indicate cutting edge sub-topics likely to be actively pursued in the following two years. We describe contest procedures and results provided by thirteen participating teams.

Keywords: R&D assessment; R&D emergence; Research indicators; Predicting research topics; Technology emergence indicators; Emerging technology (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:159:y:2020:i:c:s0040162520310027

DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2020.120176

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