Scenario-based preferences modeling to investigate port initiatives resilience

Ayedh Al-Mutairi, Sharaf AlKheder, Shaikhah Alzwayid, Dalal Talib, Mariam Bn Heji and James H. Lambert

Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2022, vol. 176, issue C

Abstract: Port systems are sensitive and complicated, yet they are subject to various forms of disruptiveness. Therefore, during the port life cycle, the port can be exposed to unexpected crises that include economic meltdowns, inappropriate designs, and the unavailability of resources. Scenario-based preference modeling was designed to define the nature of the system resilience in Mubarak Al-Kabeer Port (MKP), Kuwait. The model described the influence of different scenarios on the port initiatives among a set of criteria. The initiatives in each scenario were ranked based on their level of importance. Results showed that the most disruptive scenario was s3 (economic crisis), while s5 (compelling circumstance) was the least disruptive scenario. The results also revealed that the most robust and highly prioritized initiatives were x1 (soil treatment for the main road construction and MKP harbor) and x25 (maintenance of the connecting channel —the channel links MKP to Khor Abdullah).

Keywords: Resilience; Multi-criteria analysis; Robustness; Strategic planning; Scenario-based preference modeling (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:176:y:2022:i:c:s0040162522000300

DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2022.121498

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