Can graphene fuel a transformative change in energy storage technologies? A scenario analysis for the next two decades

Ali Haidar, José Guimón and Ido Alon

Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2024, vol. 202, issue C

Abstract: In this article, we explore the transformative potential of graphene in electrochemical energy technologies over the next two decades. Using a two-round Delphi survey and 28 expert interviews, we construct three distinct evolutionary scenarios: 1) Current state: graphene has made notable technical advancements, but its transformative potential is limited to “nice-to-have” functionalities, 2) Projected state: graphene's technical progress and adoption of “nice-to-have” functions in energy storage devices will continue, suggesting a gradual evolution, 3) Ideal state: graphene's technical barriers are surmounted, and its transformative capacities are unleashed. Our study's findings challenge the prevailing consensus, which suggests that graphene will have a transformative impact in the near term. Instead, we highlight the complex balance between “nice-to-have” functionalities and genuine transformative capacities. Additionally, we underscore the persistent technical, strategic, and systemic challenges that could shape graphene's trajectory. Finally, we provide an in-depth, analytical assessment and practical implications for both the potential of graphene in energy storage devices and broader innovation generalization dynamics.

Keywords: Diffusion of innovation; Graphene; Energy storage devices; Scenario analysis; Delphi study (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:202:y:2024:i:c:s004016252400074x

DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123278

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