Boosting productive capacity in OECD countries: Unveiling the roles of geopolitical risk and globalization

Shreya Pal, Mantu Kumar Mahalik, Qiuyun Zhao, Fan Liu and Alaa M. Soliman

Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2024, vol. 202, issue C

Abstract: This study examines the intertwined effects of geopolitical risk and globalization on productive capacity (the measure of economic cycles) in 20 Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries from 2000 to 2021. The panel threshold regression and Driscoll-Kraay standard error estimations highlight the positive impact of globalization on productive capacity. Still, they are underscored by the negative effect of geopolitical risk. The study also unveils a synergistic relationship, demonstrating that the combined influence of globalization and geopolitical risk can amplify productive capacity under specific conditions. Government effectiveness and innovation have positive effects on productive capacities. These findings underscore the need for balanced policies that leverage global economic integration while ensuring geopolitical stability, and offering nuanced insights to guide strategic decision-making for sustained economic cycles.

Keywords: Productive capacity; Economic cycles; Geopolitical risk; Globalization; Panel threshold regression (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162524000878
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:202:y:2024:i:c:s0040162524000878

DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123291

Access Statistics for this article

Technological Forecasting and Social Change is currently edited by Fred Phillips

More articles in Technological Forecasting and Social Change from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().