A novel integrated approach for quantifying the convergence of disruptive technologies from science to technology

Xin Li and Yan Wang

Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2024, vol. 209, issue C

Abstract: With rapid developments in science and technology, knowledge transfer from science to technology and technology convergence from different fields are accelerating. Technology convergence has become a main source of disruptive technologies (DTs). To facilitate enterprise R&D strategic decision-making and government innovation policies formulation, it is necessary to quantify the convergence processes of DTs and understand the DTs' emergence characteristics from science to technology. Existing research on technology convergence measurement mainly used patent citation information, patent co-classification analysis, and text mining. However, since these studies have limited analysis of the sources and causes of technology convergence from the perspective of knowledge memes, resulting in insufficient revelation of the processes and characteristics of DTs' emergence. Knowledge meme theory helps to reveal the relationships between knowledge diffusion, knowledge convergence, and technology convergence. Therefore, in this paper, we proposed a research framework for quantifying the convergence of DTs from science to technology. In this framework, we analyzed the knowledge diffusion and technology convergence of DTs from science to technology based on knowledge meme theory. We also integrated patent citation analysis, text mining, and cascade network models to quantitatively measure knowledge diffusion and technology convergence characteristics. We tried to understand the generation mechanisms of DTs from the perspective of technology convergence. We took smartphones as a case study to verify the framework's validity and flexibility. This paper provides a novel approach for quantifying the convergence of DTs from science to technology, which can help us to understand the emergence and development trends of DTs. This paper will also be of interest to smartphone technology R&D experts.

Keywords: Disruptive technology; Technology convergence; Knowledge convergence; Knowledge meme; Smartphone technology (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162524006231
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:209:y:2024:i:c:s0040162524006231

DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123825

Access Statistics for this article

Technological Forecasting and Social Change is currently edited by Fred Phillips

More articles in Technological Forecasting and Social Change from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().