Common socio-economic cycle periods

Bert de Groot and Philip Hans Franses

Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2012, vol. 79, issue 1, 59-68

Abstract: We present a meta-analysis of cycle periods in historical socio-economic data found in the K-wave literature. The literature on stochastic and deterministic cycles in variables such as the consumer price index, employment, interest rates, commodity prices, GDP, war and hegemony is huge and scattered. However our meta-analysis reveals various commonalities. Our key finding is that there is a common set of cycle periods that is common across most socio-economic variables.

Keywords: Business cycles; Cycle periods; Multiple cycles; Basic innovations; Fibonacci sequence (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (11)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:79:y:2012:i:1:p:59-68

DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2011.06.006

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