Diffusion and competition of voice communication technologies in the Czech and Slovak Republics, 1948–2009

Vladimír Baláž and Allan M. Williams

Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2012, vol. 79, issue 2, 393-404

Abstract: The paper applies concepts of population dynamics to the evolution of communication technologies. The dynamics of voice communication technologies in the Czech and Slovak Republics in 1948–2009 are examined via the Lotka–Volterra equations. Fixed lines and mobile phones are considered predatory technologies hunting for their ‘prey’ — voice service subscribers. Each technology squeezes out carrying capacity from its competitor. Mobile phones, however, exert a far greater impact on numbers of fixed telephone lines than vice versa. The conclusions consider some limitations of population dynamics approaches in economic modelling and discuss the different growth strategies associated with particular types of technologies.

Keywords: Technological change; Population dynamics; Lotka–Volterra models; Communication technologies (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2012
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:79:y:2012:i:2:p:393-404

DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2011.07.011

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