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The trade-off between innovation and defense industrial policy: A simulation model analysis of the Norwegian defense industry

Martin Blom, Fulvio Castellacci and Arne Fevolden

Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2013, vol. 80, issue 8, 1579-1592

Abstract: The paper investigates the trade-off between innovation and defense industrial policy. It presents an agent-based simulation model calibrated for the Norwegian defense industry that compares different policy scenarios and examines the effects of a pending EU market liberalization process. The paper points to two main results. (1) It finds that a pure scenario where national authorities focus on, and provide support exclusively for, either a) international competitiveness or b) national defense and security objectives, is more Pareto efficient than a corresponding mixed strategy where policy makers simultaneously pursue both international competitiveness and defense and security objectives. (2) Under the conditions of the new EU liberalization regime, it finds that a stronger and more visible trade-off will emerge between international competitiveness and national defense and security objectives. Policy makers will have to choose which to prioritize, and set a clear agenda focusing on one of the two objectives.

Keywords: Innovation policy; Industrial policy; Defense industry; EU liberalization; Agent-based simulation model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C6 F1 F5 L1 M2 O3 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:80:y:2013:i:8:p:1579-1592

DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.01.005

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