A world population growth model: Interaction with Earth's carrying capacity and technology in limited space

Rein Taagepera

Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2014, vol. 82, issue C, 34-41

Abstract: Up to 1900, world population growth over 1500years fitted the quasi-hyperbolic format P(t)=a/(D−t)M, but this fit projected to infinite population around 2000. The recent slowdown has been fitted only by iteration of differential equations. This study fits the mean world population estimates from CE 400 to present with “tamed quasi-hyperbolic function” P(t)=A/[ln(B+e(D−t)/τ)]M, which reverts to P=a/(D−t)M when t<Keywords: World population growth; Population-carrying capacity–technology interaction; Tamed quasi-hyperbolic growth; Limits to growth (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:82:y:2014:i:c:p:34-41

DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.07.009

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