A dynamic model of the marriage market—Part 2: Simulation of marital states and application to empirical data

A.P. Matthews and M.L. Garenne

Theoretical Population Biology, 2013, vol. 88, issue C, 86-93

Abstract: A dynamic, two-sex, age-structured marriage model is presented. Part 1 focused on first marriage only and described a marriage market matching algorithm. In Part 2 the model is extended to include divorce, widowing, and remarriage. The model produces a self-consistent set of marital states distributed by age and sex in a stable population by means of a gender-symmetric numerical method. The model is compared with empirical data for the case of Zambia. Furthermore, a dynamic marriage function for a changing population is demonstrated in simulations of three hypothetical scenarios of elevated mortality in young to middle adulthood. The marriage model has its primary application to simulation of HIV-AIDS epidemics in African countries.

Keywords: Marriage market; Two-sex age distribution; Marital states; Simulation; Zambia (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:thpobi:v:88:y:2013:i:c:p:86-93

DOI: 10.1016/j.tpb.2013.05.002

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