The construction and use of continuous autoregressive models for traffic indices

Neil W. Polhemus

Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, 1980, vol. 14, issue 3, 271-279

Abstract: This article discusses the use of continuous autoregressive models to describe the behavior of traffic indices. From discretely sampled data, second-order differential equation models are constructed to represent dynamic traffic fluctuations as the response of a linear system to a stochastic forcing function. The results are compared to the more common M/G/[infinity] queueing model approach, and the analysis is demonstrated on time series of aircraft concentration in thirty-one enroute air traffic control sectors.

Date: 1980
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