 A threshold model of social contagion process for evacuation decision makingSamiul Hasan and Satish V. Ukkusuri Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, 2011, vol. 45, issue 10, 1590-1605 Abstract: Individual evacuation decisions are often characterized by the influence of one’s social network. In this paper a threshold model of social contagion, originally proposed in the network science literature, is presented to characterize this social influence in the evacuation decision making process. Initiated by a single agent, the condition of a cascade when a portion of the population decides to evacuate has been derived from the model. Simulation models are also developed to investigate the effects of community mixing patterns and the initial seed on cascade propagation and the effect of previous time-steps considered by the agents and the strength of ties on average cascade size. Insights related to social influence include the significant role of mixing patterns among communities in the network and the role of the initial seed on cascade propagation. Specifically, faster propagation of warning is observed in community networks with greater inter-community connections. Keywords: Network science; Evacuation decision making; Warning propagation; Complex networks; Contagion model (search for similar items in EconPapers) Downloads: (external link) Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:transb:v:45:y:2011:i:10:p:1590-1605 Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from DOI: 10.1016/j.trb.2011.07.008 Access Statistics for this article Transportation Research Part B: Methodological is currently edited by Fred Mannering More articles in Transportation Research Part B: Methodological from Elsevier |
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