Agricultural production amid conflict: Separating the effects of conflict into shocks and uncertainty

María Alejandra Arias, Ana Ibáñez and Andres Zambrano

World Development, 2019, vol. 119, issue C, 165-184

Abstract: This paper examines the effect of conflict on agricultural production of small farmers. First, an inter-temporal model of agricultural production is developed in which the impact of conflict is transmitted through violent shocks and uncertainty brought about by conflict. We test the model using a unique household survey applied to 4800 households in four micro-regions of Colombia. Our findings suggest households learn to live amid conflict, albeit at a lower income trajectory. When presence of non-state armed actors prolongs, farmers shift to activities with short-term yields and lower profitability from activities that require high investments. If violence intensifies in regions with presence of non-state armed actors, farmers concentrate on subsistence activities.

Keywords: Conflict; Uncertainty; Agricultural production; Small-farmers; Developing economies (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D13 D74 Q1 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (38)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0305750X1730373X
Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

Related works:
Working Paper: Agricultural Production Amid Conflict: Separating the Effects of Conflict into Shocks and Uncertainty (2017)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eee:wdevel:v:119:y:2019:i:c:p:165-184

DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2017.11.011

Access Statistics for this article

World Development is currently edited by O. T. Coomes

More articles in World Development from Elsevier
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Catherine Liu ().