Agricultural Production Amid Conflict: Separating the Effects of Conflict into Shocks and Uncertainty

María Alejandra Arias (), Ana Ibáñez and Andres Zambrano
Additional contact information
María Alejandra Arias: University of Chicago

No 245, HiCN Working Papers from Households in Conflict Network

Abstract: This paper examines the effect of conflict on agricultural production of small farmers. First, an inter-temporal model of agricultural production is developed in which the impact of conflict is transmitted through violent shocks and uncertainty brought about by conflict. We test the model using a unique household survey applied to 4,800 households in four micro-regions of Colombia. Our findings suggest households learn to live amid conflict, albeit at a lower income trajectory. When presence of non-state armed actors prolongs, farmers shift to activities with short-term yields and lower profitability from activities that require high investments. If violence intensifies in regions with presence of non-state armed actors, farmers concentrate on subsistence activities.

Keywords: conflict; uncertainty; agricultural production; small-farmers; developing economies (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D13 D74 Q1 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Pages: 49 pages
Date: 2017-03
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-agr and nep-dev
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.hicn.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/06/HiCN-WP-245.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Agricultural production amid conflict: Separating the effects of conflict into shocks and uncertainty (2019)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hic:wpaper:245

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in HiCN Working Papers from Households in Conflict Network
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Tilman Brück () and () and () and ().