 Fiscal spending multiplier calculations based on input-output tables – an application to EU member statesEuropean Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, 2012, vol. 9, issue 1, 129-144 Abstract: Fiscal spending multiplier calculations have attracted considerable attention in the aftermath of the global financial crisis. Much of the current literature is based on VAR estimation methods and DSGE models. In line with the Keynesian literature we argue that many of these models probably underestimate the fiscal spending multiplier in recessions. The income-expenditure model of the fiscal spending multiplier can be seen as a good approximation under these circumstances. In its conventional form this model suffers from an underestimation of the multiplier due to an overestimation of the import intake of domestic absorption. In this article we apply input-output calculus to solve this problem. Multipliers thus derived are comparably high, ranging between 1.4 and 1.8 for many member states of the European Union. GDP drops due to budget consolidation might therefore be substantial in times of crisis. Keywords:  fiscal spending multiplier; input-output calculus; income-expenditure model; European Union; EU (search for similar items in EconPapers) Downloads: (external link) Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:elg:ejeepi:v:9:y:2012:i:1:p129-144 Access Statistics for this article European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention is currently edited by Torsten Niechoj More articles in European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention from Edward Elgar Publishing |
Is your work missing from RePEc? Here is how to contribute.
Questions or problems? Check the EconPapers FAQ or send mail to .
EconPapers is hosted by the
School of Business at Örebro University.