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Questioning the effect of the real exchange rate on growth: new evidence from Mexico

Florencia Médici, Agustín Mario and Alejandro Fiorito
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Florencia Médici: Research Professors, Center for Studies of Political Economy and Development, National University of Moreno, Buenos Aires, Argentina
Agustín Mario: Research Professors, Center for Studies of Political Economy and Development, National University of Moreno, Buenos Aires, Argentina
Alejandro Fiorito: Research Professors, Center for Studies of Political Economy and Development, National University of Moreno, Buenos Aires, Argentina

Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Florencia Medici

Review of Keynesian Economics, 2021, vol. 9, issue 2, 253-269

Abstract: This study provides new evidence showing that the real exchange rate (RER) does not play an important role in the growth of Mexican GDP. Economic growth is not an automatically predetermined result of relative price correction, and it is important to consider distinctive aspects of national institutional arrangements (fiscal and monetary, for example) for understanding theoretical causality of demand. The empirical results show public expenditure is an overlooked variable in regressions where the exchange rate affects product growth. After incorporating public expenditure, the RER impact on growth becomes insignificant. For its part, public expenditure has a positive and significant effect on GDP in the long term. The RER does not lead to greater GDP since exports are not stimulated through price.

Keywords: exchange rate; autonomous demand; growth; Mexico; vector error-correction model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C32 E11 E12 E62 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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