Unemployment hysteresis by gender and youth in the EU: evidence from new factor PANIC unit root tests with breaks

Rüya Ataklı Yavuz, Cüneyt Kılıç and Ahmet Tayfur Akcan

International Journal of Manpower, 2024, vol. 46, issue 3, 446-471

Abstract: Purpose - Unemployment hysteresis is when the unemployment rate increases at the time of an economic shock and does not return to its previous level after the shock. Unemployment hysteresis is one of the most common economic diseases in labour markets. In this study, unemployment hysteresis is investigated for female, male, youth and general unemployment rates of EU countries. Design/methodology/approach - The new factorial PANIC test was employed to ascertain the existence of hysteresis in the labour market in the EU countries between 1991 and 2023. Findings - Although there are some countries where the hysteresis effect is nota priorivalid, it is generally accepted that the hysteresis effect is valid in most European countries. Practical implications - In order to enhance the labour markets of EU countries, it is recommended that active and passive employment policies be implemented in a more comprehensive manner. Originality/value - While there are numerous studies that examine the phenomenon of unemployment hysteresis in relation to general unemployment rates, there are only a limited number of studies that examine it in relation to female, male and youth unemployment rates. Another significant contribution of the study is the utilisation of the new factorial PANIC unit root test approach developed by Payneet al.(2022).

Keywords: Unemployment hysteresis; Gender; Youth; Structural breaks; Cross-correlations new PANIC test (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eme:ijmpps:ijm-05-2024-0314

DOI: 10.1108/IJM-05-2024-0314

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