The Eurozone crisis and its contagion effects on the European stock markets
N R Bhanumurthy () and
Studies in Economics and Finance, 2014, vol. 31, issue 3, 325-352
Purpose - – This paper aims to examine the contagion effects of Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Spain and Italy (GIPSI) and US stock markets on seven Eurozone and six non-Eurozone stock markets. Design/methodology/approach - – In this paper, a dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) model popularly known as DCC-GARCH (Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity) model given by Engle (2002) is applied to estimate the DCCs across sample markets. Findings - – Analyzing the Eurozone crisis period, the empirical results suggest that among GIPSI stock markets, Spain, Italy, Portugal and Ireland appear to be most contagious for Eurozone and non-Eurozone markets. The study finds that France, Belgium, Austria and Germany in Eurozone and UK, Sweden and Denmark in non-Eurozone are strongly hit by the contagion shock. Practical implications - – The findings of the study have significant implications for the concerned regulatory authorities, as it may provide an important direction for further policy research with regard to financial integration in the European Union (EU). From global investors’ perspective, the EU-based diversification strategies seem to be inefficient especially during Eurozone crisis. Originality/value - – To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this is the first study that examines the issue of financial contagion of Eurozone crisis for a large basket of stock markets of European countries comprising seven Eurozone and six non-Eurozone markets for the period 2009-2012. The study uses the Markov regime switching model to identify crisis period and utilizes the DCC estimates of DCC-GARCH to examine the patterns of financial contagion. The finding of this study is quite interesting and is different in several ways than existing studies in the literature.
Keywords: Financial crisis; Eurozone crisis; DCC-GARCH; European stock markets; Financial contagion; C22; G14; G15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7) Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
http://www.emeraldinsight.com/10.1108/SEF-01-2014- ... RePEc&WT.mc_id=RePEc (text/html)
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:eme:sefpps:v:31:y:2014:i:3:p:325-352
Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
Emerald Group Publishing, Howard House, Wagon Lane, Bingley, BD16 1WA, UK
http://emeraldgroupp ... /journals.htm?id=sef
Access Statistics for this article
Studies in Economics and Finance is currently edited by Niklas F Wagner
More articles in Studies in Economics and Finance from Emerald Group Publishing
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Virginia Chapman ().