Dinamica de corto plazo del empleo en las maquiladoras de Reynosa, Tamaulipas

Thomas Fullerton (), Juan Carlos Vázquez Morales and Martha Patricia Barraza de Anda
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Juan Carlos Vázquez Morales: Departamento de Economía, Universidad Autónoma de Ciudad Juárez
Martha Patricia Barraza de Anda: Departamento de Economía, Universidad Autónoma de Ciudad Juárez

Ensayos Revista de Economia, 2011, vol. XXX, issue 1, 23-40

Abstract: This research analyzes short-run payroll dynamics associated with the maquiladora export sector of Reynosa, Tamaulipas, Mexico. Parameter estimation is carried out using linear transfer function ARIMA analysis. In contrast to other metropolitan economies for which similar econometric analyses have been completed, real currency movements are not found to be statistically significant. Explanatory variables that do satisfy the significance criterion include industrial activity in the United States, real wages, and the number of factories in operation. Out-of-sample simulations indicate that the model is relatively accurate for forecasts of 1 to 24 months into the future.

Keywords: Maquiladoras; Employment; Border Economics (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F15 R15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
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Working Paper: Dinámica de corto plazo del empleo en las maquiladoras de Reynosa, Tamaulipas (2011)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ere:journl:v:xxx:y:2011:i:1:p:23-40

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