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Measuring Unemployment by Means of Official Data and Administrative Records: Empirical and Theoretical Perspectives

Marco Guerrazzi () and Ilham Ksebi

QUADERNI DI ECONOMIA DEL LAVORO, 2019, vol. 2019/110, issue 110, 17-49

Abstract: This paper addresses the measurement of unemployment in the Italian region-al context. Specifically, retrieving data from Tuscany, we compare the picture of unemployment that emerges by exploring official data and administrative records over the period after the burst of the Great Recession. Consistently with previous findings, we find that registered unemployment is higher, more persistent and more concentrated on women than its official measure. Nevertheless, we show that the cyclical behaviour of registered job seekers is similar to the one of official job seekers. Moreover, we provide a way to reconcile the two measures of unemploy-ment. Thereafter, we develop a model that provides a rationale for the coexistence of official and registered job seekers and we explore how it reacts to productivity shocks and its policy implications. Finally, we offer some insights about the desir-ability of an integrated use of these data.

Date: 2019
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