Survey-based forecasts identify likely inflation outcomes
Antonella Tutino ()
Economic Letter, 2015, vol. 10, issue 8, 4 pages
Professional forecasters generally better predict inflation than household surveys and often outperform nave year-ahead forecasts based on the Fed?s 2 percent target. Constants, the basis of the nave forecasts, benefit because they are not subject to month-to-month volatility.
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
http://www.dallasfed.org/assets/documents/research/eclett/2015/el1508.pdf Full text (application/pdf)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:fip:feddel:00024
Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
Access Statistics for this article
More articles in Economic Letter from Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by ().