Economic Letter

2006 - 2018

From Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
Contact information at EDIRC.
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2018, volume 13, issue 10

Labor Market Not Overly Tight, Demographically Adjusted Measure Shows , 4 pages

Carlos Zarazaga and Emil Mihaylov

2018, volume 13, issue 9

Reserve Adequacy Explains Emerging-Market Sensitivity to U.S. Monetary Policy , 4 pages

Jonathan Davis, Dan Crowley and Michael Morris

2018, volume 13, issue 8

Smaller Banks Less Able to Withstand Flattening Yield Curve , 4 pages

Pavel Kapinos and Alex Musatov

2018, volume 13, issue 7

Consumers Respond More to Negative News than Positive Info , 4 pages

Antonella Tutino

2018, volume 13, issue 6

Declining U.S. Labor Force Participation Rates Stand Out , 4 pages

Alexander Richter, Daniel Chapman and Emil Mihaylov

2018, volume 13, issue 5

Steeling the U.S. Economy for the Impacts of Tariffs , 4 pages

Michael Sposi and Kelvinder Virdi

2018, volume 13, issue 4

Global, National Business Cycles and Energy Explain Texas Metro Growth , 4 pages

Alexander Chudik, Janet Koech and Mark Wynne

2018, volume 13, issue 3

Rising Public Debt to GDP Can Harm Economic Growth , 4 pages

Alexander Chudik, Kamiar Mohaddes, M Pesaran and Mehdi Raissi

2018, volume 13, issue 2

Global Interfirm Network Reveals Centrality of U.S. and Financial Sector , 4 pages

Everett Grant and Julieta Yung

2018, volume 13, issue 1

Texas Job Growth Swings More with Services than Oil , 4 pages

Navi Dhaliwal, Soojin Jo and Mine Yucel

2017, volume 12, issue 15

Brexit Through the Gift Shop: No Refunds , 4 pages

Michael Sposi and Kelvinder Virdi

2017, volume 12, issue 14

Demand Shocks Fuel Commodity Price Booms and Busts , 4 pages

Martin Stuermer

2017, volume 12, issue 13

Real-time Data Inaccuracies Pose Challenges to Gauging the Oil Market , 4 pages

Justin Lee and Jesse Thompson

2017, volume 12, issue 12

China’s Capital Controls Appear to Arrest Flight, Stabilize Currency , 4 pages

Jonathan Davis

2017, volume 12, issue 11

Fed’s Effective Lower Bound Constraint on Monetary Policy Created Uncertainty , 4 pages

Michael Plante, Alexander Richter and Nathaniel Throckmorton

2017, volume 12, issue 10

Global and National Shocks Explain A Large Share of State Job Growth , 4 pages

Alexander Chudik, Janet Koech and Mark Wynne

2017, volume 12, issue 9

Getting a Jump on Inflation , 4 pages

Alan Armen and Evan Koenig

2017, volume 12, issue 8

Impact of Macroeconomic Surprises Changed After Zero Lower Bound , 4 pages

Christoffer Koch and Julieta Yung

2017, volume 12, issue 7

Bank Asset Concentration Not Necessarily Cause for Worry , 4 pages

Ricardo Fernholz and Christoffer Koch

2017, volume 12, issue 6

Corporate Tax Reform: Potential Gains at a Price to Some , 4 pages

Evan Koenig and Jason Saving

2017, volume 12, issue 5

Costs of Oil Price Exchange-Traded Funds Diminish Usefulness , 4 pages

Sung Je Byun

2017, volume 12, issue 4

America’s Missing Workers Are Primarily Middle Educated , 4 pages

Alan Armen and Tyler Atkinson

2017, volume 12, issue 3

Small-Business Lending Languishes as Community Banking Weakens , 4 pages

Kelsey Reichow

2017, volume 12, issue 2

Navigating by the Stars: The Natural Rate as Economic Forecasting Tool , 4 pages

Evan Koenig and Alan Armen

2017, volume 12, issue 1

Is the Next Recession Around the Corner? Probably Not , 4 pages

Anton Cheremukhin

2016, volume 11, issue 12

U.S. productivity growth flowing downstream , 4 pages

Michael Sposi and Kelvinder Virdi

2016, volume 11, issue 11

Health care services depress recent PCE inflation readings , 4 pages

Jim Dolmas

2016, volume 11, issue 10

Shadow banking reemerges, posing challenges to banks and regulators , 4 pages

Alex Musatov and Michael Perez

2016, volume 11, issue 9

Risk, uncertainty separately cloud global growth forecasting , 4 pages

Alexander Chudik, Enrique Martinez-Garcia and Valerie Grossman

2016, volume 11, issue 8

Is rising unemployment an early warning of state-level recession? , 4 pages

Alan Armen and Tyler Atkinson

2016, volume 11, issue 7

Global demographic trends shape policy environment , 4 pages

Mark Wynne

2016, volume 11, issue 6

Central bank communication must overcome the public’s limited attention span , 4 pages

Antonella Tutino

2016, volume 11, issue 5

Impact of Chinese slowdown on U.S. no longer negligible , 4 pages

Alexander Chudik and Arthur Hinojosa

2016, volume 11, issue 4

Stock market provides imperfect view of real U.S. economy , 4 pages

Julieta Yung

2016, volume 11, issue 3

Increased credit availability, rising asset prices help boost consumer spending , 4 pages

John Duca, Anthony Murphy and Elizabeth Organ

2016, volume 11, issue 2

Consequences of the Euro: monetary union, economic disunion? , 4 pages

Enrique Martinez-Garcia and Valerie Grossman

2016, volume 11, issue 1

Emerging-market debtor nations likely to follow Fed rate boosts , 4 pages

Jonathan Davis

2015, volume 10, issue 11

Cheaper crude oil affects consumer prices unevenly , 4 pages

Alexander Chudik and Janet Koech

2015, volume 10, issue 10

Long view of China suggests inevitable slowdown , 4 pages

Anton Cheremukhin

2015, volume 10, issue 9

Foreign direct investment: financial benefits could surpass gains in technology , 4 pages

Jian Wang, Janet Koech and Xiao Wang

2015, volume 10, issue 8

Survey-based forecasts identify likely inflation outcomes , 4 pages

Antonella Tutino

2015, volume 10, issue 7

A real appreciation for recent exchange-rate movements , 4 pages

Kuhu Pararampuria and Michael Sposi

2015, volume 10, issue 6

Liquidity mismatch helps predict bank failure and distress , 4 pages

J.B. Cooke, Christoffer Koch and Anthony Murphy

2015, volume 10, issue 5

Investment enhances emerging economies' living standards , 4 pages

Enrique Martinez-Garcia

2015, volume 10, issue 4

External debt sheds light on drivers of exchange rate fluctuations , 4 pages

Jonathan Davis

2015, volume 10, issue 3

Plunging oil prices: a boost for the U.S. economy, a jolt for Texas , 4 pages

Anthony Murphy, Michael Plante and Mine Yucel

2015, volume 10, issue 2

International migration remains the last frontier of globalization , 4 pages

Mark Wynne

2015, volume 10, issue 1

Current account surplus may damp the effects of China’s credit boom , 4 pages

Jonathan Davis, Adrienne Mack, Wesley Phoa and Anne Vandenabeele

2014, volume 9, issue 14

Consuming price differences persist among eight Texas cities , 4 pages

Michele Ca'Zorzi, Alexander Chudik and Chi-Young Choi

2014, volume 9, issue 13

Are we there yet? assessing progress toward full employment and price stability , 4 pages

Richard W. Fisher and Evan Koenig

2014, volume 9, issue 12

Fed manufacturing surveys provide insight into national economy , 4 pages

Emily Kerr, Pia Orrenius, Jack Wang and Jesus Cañas

2014, volume 9, issue 11

Deindustrialization redeploys workers to growing service sector , 4 pages

Michael Sposi and Valerie Grossman

2014, volume 9, issue 10

Despite cautionary guidance, leveraged loans reach new highs , 4 pages

Alex Musatov and William Watts

2014, volume 9, issue 9

China's sputtering housing boom poses broad economic challenge , 4 pages

Janet Koech and Jian Wang

2014, volume 9, issue 8

U.S. gasoline imports rise following temporary easing of fuel standards , 4 pages

Adriana Fernandez and Robert W. Gilmer

2014, volume 9, issue 7

Crude oil export ban benefits some … but not all , 4 pages

Michael Plante

2014, volume 9, issue 6

Inflation is not always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon , 4 pages

Antonella Tutino and Carlos Zarazaga

2014, volume 9, issue 5

Middle-skill jobs lost in U.S. labor market polarization , 4 pages

Anton Cheremukhin

2014, volume 9, issue 4

Central bank transparency anchors inflation expectations , 4 pages

Jonathan Davis, Adrienne Mack and Mark Wynne

2014, volume 9, issue 3

U.S. budget deficits shrink, but long-run issues remain , 4 pages

Jason Saving

2014, volume 9, issue 2

Renewable fuel standards hit the 'blend wall' , 4 pages

Michael Plante and Mine Yucel

2014, volume 9, issue 1

Weakly capitalized banks slowed lending recovery after recession , 4 pages

J.B. Cooke and Christoffer Koch