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Inflationary Effects of Trade Disputes with China

Galina Hale, Bart Hobijn, Fernanda Nechio and Doris Wilson

FRBSF Economic Letter, 2019

Abstract: Imports from China are an important part of overall U.S. imports of consumer and investment goods. Thus, tariffs on these imports are likely to have sizable effects on consumer, producer, and investment prices in this country. Tariffs implemented thus far may have contributed an estimated 0.1 percentage point to consumer price inflation and 0.4 percentage point to price inflation for business investment goods. If implemented, an across-the-board 25% tariff on all Chinese imports would raise consumer prices an additional 0.3 percentage point and investment prices an additional 1.0 percentage point.

Keywords: Pacific Basin Notes; Center for Pacific Basin Studies (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
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