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FRBSF Economic Letter

1973 - 2022

From Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
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2022, volume 2022, articles 12

Pandemic Unemployment Effects across Demographic Groups pp. 05 Downloads
Evgeniya A. Duzhak

2022, volume 2022, articles 11

Current Recession Risk According to the Yield Curve pp. 05 Downloads
Michael D. Bauer and Thomas Mertens

2022, volume 2022, articles 10

Steering Toward Sustainable Growth pp. 6 Downloads
Mary Daly

2022, volume 2022, articles 09

Unemployment Insurance Withdrawal pp. 05 Downloads
Sarah Albert, Olivia Lofton, Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau and Robert Valletta

2022, volume 2022, articles 08

“Great Resignations” Are Common During Fast Recoveries pp. 06 Downloads
Bart Hobijn

2022, volume 2022, articles 07

Why Is U.S. Inflation Higher than in Other Countries? pp. 06 Downloads
Oscar Jorda, Celeste Liu, Fernanda Nechio and Fabián Rivera-Reyes

2022, volume 2022, articles 06

How Are Businesses Responding to Climate Risk? pp. 06 Downloads
Hishgee Jargalsaikhan, Sylvain Leduc and Luiz E. Oliveira

2022, volume 2022, articles 05

This Time Is Different…Because We Are pp. 08 Downloads
Mary Daly

2022, volume 2022, articles 04

What’s the Best Measure of Economic Slack? pp. 05 Downloads
Régis Barnichon and Adam Hale Shapiro

2022, volume 2022, articles 03

Will Rising Rents Push Up Future Inflation? pp. 05 Downloads
Kevin Lansing, Luiz E. Oliveira and Adam Hale Shapiro

2022, volume 2022, articles 02

Searching for Maximum Employment pp. 06 Downloads
Sarah Albert and Robert Valletta

2022, volume 2022, articles 01

Average Inflation Targeting in the Financial Crisis Recovery pp. 05 Downloads
Vasco Cúrdia

2021, volume 2021, articles 33

Comparing Pandemic Unemployment to Past U.S. Recoveries pp. 05 Downloads
Robert E. Hall and Marianna Kudlyak

2021, volume 2021, articles 32

Employment Effects of COVID-19 across States, Sectors pp. 05 Downloads
Sarah Albert, Andrew Foerster and Pierre Daniel Sarte

2021, volume 2021, articles 31

Policymaking in a Time of Uncertainty pp. 06 Downloads
Mary Daly

2021, volume 2021, articles 30

How Strongly Are Local Economies Tied to COVID-19? pp. 5 Downloads
Samuel R. Tarasewicz and Daniel Wilson

2021, volume 2021, articles 29

What Would It Cost to Issue 50-year Treasury Bonds? pp. 05 Downloads
Jens Christensen, Jose Lopez and Paul Mussche

2021, volume 2021, articles 28

Climate Change Costs Rise as Interest Rates Fall pp. 05 Downloads
Michael Bauer and Glenn Rudebusch

2021, volume 2021, articles 27

Is the American Rescue Plan Taking Us Back to the ’60s? pp. 06 Downloads
Régis Barnichon, Luiz E. Oliveira and Adam Hale Shapiro

2021, volume 2021, articles 26

From Gaps to Growth: Equity as a Path to Prosperity pp. 01-07 Downloads
Mary Daly

2021, volume 2021, articles 25

How Do Business Cycles Affect Worker Groups Differently? pp. 01-06 Downloads
Evgeniya A. Duzhak

2021, volume 2021, articles 24

Effects of Asset Valuations on U.S. Wealth Distribution pp. 01-06 Downloads
Renuka Diwan, Evgeniya A. Duzhak and Thomas Mertens

2021, volume 2021, articles 23

How Do Low and Negative Interest Rates Affect Banks? pp. 01-05 Downloads
Olivia Lofton and Mauricio Ulate

2021, volume 2021, articles 22

Labor Productivity in a Pandemic pp. 01-05 Downloads
John Fernald, Huiyu Li and Mitchell Ochse

2021, volume 2021, articles 21

Return of the Original Phillips Curve pp. 01-06 Downloads
Peter Lihn Jørgensen and Kevin Lansing

2021, volume 2021, articles 20

Minority Banks during the COVID-19 Pandemic pp. 01-05 Downloads
Sophia M. Friesenhahn and Simon Kwan

2021, volume 2021, articles 19

Do Households Expect Inflation When Commodities Surge? pp. 06 Downloads
Reuven Glick, Noah Kouchekinia, Sylvain Leduc and Zheng Liu

2021, volume 2021, articles 18

How Much Did the CARES Act Help Households Stay Afloat? pp. 06 Downloads
James Aylward, Elizabeth Laderman, Luiz E. Oliveira and Gladys Teng

2021, volume 2021, articles 17

Climate Risk and the Fed: Preparing for an Uncertain Certainty pp. 08 Downloads
Mary Daly

2021, volume 2021, articles 16

The Economy’s Response to Potential Climate Policy pp. 01-05 Downloads
Stephie Fried, Kevin Novan and William Peterman

2021, volume 2021, articles 15

The Divergent Signals about Labor Market Slack pp. 01-06 Downloads
Troy Gilchrist and Bart Hobijn

2021, volume 2021, articles 14

Fiscal Multiplier at the Zero Bound: Evidence from Japan pp. 01-05 Downloads
Ethan Goode, Zheng Liu and Thuy Lan Nguyen

2021, volume 2021, articles 13

Exploring the Safety Premium of Safe Assets pp. 01-05 Downloads
Jens Christensen and Nikola Mirkov

2021, volume 2021, articles 12

The Last Resort in a Changing Landscape pp. 01-07 Downloads
Mary Daly

2021, volume 2021, articles 11

Where Is the U.S. COVID-19 Pandemic Headed? pp. 01-06 Downloads
Daniel Wilson

2021, volume 2021, articles 10

Parental Participation in a Pandemic Labor Market pp. 01-05 Downloads
Olivia Lofton, Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau and Lily Seitelman

2021, volume 2021, articles 09

Capital Flow Surges and Rising Income Inequality pp. 01-05 Downloads
Renuka Diwan, Zheng Liu and Mark Spiegel

2021, volume 2021, articles 08

Disagreement about U.S. and Euro-Area Inflation Forecasts pp. 01-05 Downloads
Reuven Glick and Noah Kouchekinia

2021, volume 2021, articles 07

Lessons from History, Policy for Today pp. 01-07 Downloads
Mary Daly

2021, volume 2021, articles 06

Resilience of Community Banks in the Time of COVID-19 pp. 01-05 Downloads
Simon Kwan

2021, volume 2021, articles 05

Contrasting U.S. and European Job Markets during COVID-19 pp. 01-05 Downloads
Jean-Benoît Eyméoud, Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau, Raul Santaeulalia-Llopis and Etienne Wasmer

2021, volume 2021, articles 04

Future Output Loss from COVID-Induced School Closures pp. 01-05 Downloads
John Fernald, Huiyu Li and Mitchell Ochse

2021, volume 2021, articles 03

Climate Change Is a Source of Financial Risk pp. 01-06 Downloads
Glenn Rudebusch

2021, volume 2021, articles 02

Can Government Spending Help to Escape Recessions? pp. 01-05 Downloads
Régis Barnichon, Davide Debortoli and Christian Matthes

2021, volume 2021, articles 01

The Asymmetric Costs of Misperceiving R-star pp. 01-05 Downloads
Andrea Ajello, Isabel Cairo, Vasco Cúrdia and Albert Queraltó

2020, volume 2020, articles 37

2020 Lessons, 2021 Priorities pp. 01-08 Downloads
Mary Daly

2020, volume 2020, articles 36

Permanent and Transitory Effects of the 2008–09 Recession pp. 01-05 Downloads
Andrew Foerster and Lily Seitelman

2020, volume 2020, articles 35

Small Business Lending during COVID-19 pp. 01-05 Downloads
Remy Beauregard, Jose Lopez and Mark Spiegel

2020, volume 2020, articles 34

Temporary Layoffs and Unemployment in the Pandemic pp. 01-05 Downloads
Noah Kouchekinia, Marianna Kudlyak, Mitchell Ochse and Erin Wolcott

2020, volume 2020, articles 33

Sudden Stops and COVID-19: Lessons from Mexico’s History pp. 01-05 Downloads
Gianluca Benigno, Andrew Foerster, Christopher Otrok and Alessandro Rebucci

2020, volume 2020, articles 32

Is the Federal Reserve Contributing to Economic Inequality? pp. 07 Downloads
Mary Daly

2020, volume 2020, articles 31

Assessing Recent Stock Market Valuation with Macro Data pp. 01-06 Downloads
Kevin Lansing

2020, volume 2020, articles 30

Risk of Business Insolvency during Coronavirus Crisis pp. 01-05 Downloads
Sophia M. Friesenhahn and Simon Kwan

2020, volume 2020, articles 29

Commercial Banks under Persistent Negative Rates pp. 01-05 Downloads
Remy Beauregard and Mark Spiegel

2020, volume 2020, articles 28

Did the $600 Unemployment Supplement Discourage Work? pp. 01-05 Downloads
Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau and Robert Valletta

2020, volume 2020, articles 27

Adjusting the Unemployment Thermometer pp. 01-05 Downloads
Régis Barnichon and Winnie Yee

2020, volume 2020, articles 26

The Illusion of Wage Growth pp. 01-05 Downloads
Erin E. Crust, Mary Daly and Bart Hobijn

2020, volume 2020, articles 25

Disruptions to Starting a Business during COVID-19 pp. 01-05 Downloads
Huiyu Li and Mitchell Ochse

2020, volume 2020, articles 24

Monitoring the Inflationary Effects of COVID-19 pp. 01-06 Downloads
Adam Shapiro

2020, volume 2020, articles 23

Emerging Bond Markets and COVID-19: Evidence from Mexico pp. 01-05 Downloads
Jens Christensen, Eric Fischer and Patrick Shultz

2020, volume 2020, articles 22

Average-Inflation Targeting and the Effective Lower Bound pp. 01 Downloads
Renuka Diwan, Sylvain Leduc and Thomas Mertens

2020, volume 2020, articles 21

The Highs and Lows of Productivity Growth pp. 5 Downloads
Andrew Foerster, Christian Matthes and Lily Seitelman

2020, volume 2020, articles 20

The Fog of Numbers pp. 5 Downloads
Oscar Jorda, Noah Kouchekinia, Colton Merrill and Tatevik Sekhposyan

2020, volume 2020, articles 19

Rising Wildfire Risk for the 12th District Economy pp. 5 Downloads
James Aylward and Luiz E. Oliveira

2020, volume 2020, articles 18

COVID-19 and CO2 pp. 06 Downloads
Galina Hale and Sylvain Leduc

2020, volume 2020, articles 17

The Unequal Impact of COVID-19: Why Education Matters pp. 5 Downloads
Shelby R. Buckman, Mary Daly and Lily Seitelman

2020, volume 2020, articles 16

Are Banks Exposed to Interest Rate Risk? pp. 05 Downloads
Pascal Paul and Simon Zhu

2020, volume 2020, articles 15

We Can’t Afford Not To pp. 08 Downloads
Mary Daly

2020, volume 2020, articles 14

Market Assessment of COVID-19 pp. 5 Downloads
Simon Kwan and Thomas Mertens

2020, volume 2020, articles 13

The COVID-19 Fiscal Multiplier: Lessons from the Great Recession pp. 5 Downloads
Daniel Wilson

2020, volume 2020, articles 12

An Unemployment Crisis after the Onset of COVID-19 pp. 5 Downloads
Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau and Robert Valletta

2020, volume 2020, articles 11

Coronavirus and the Risk of Deflation pp. 5 Downloads
Jens Christensen, James M. Gamble and Simon Zhu

2020, volume 2020, articles 10

Historical Patterns around Financial Crises pp. 05 Downloads
Pascal Paul and Joseph H. Pedtke

2020, volume 2020, articles 09

Mitigating COVID-19 Effects with Conventional Monetary Policy pp. 05 Downloads
Vasco Cúrdia

2020, volume 2020, articles 08

News Sentiment in the Time of COVID-19 pp. 05 Downloads
Shelby R. Buckman, Adam Shapiro, Moritz Sudhof and Daniel Wilson

2020, volume 2020, articles 07

The Uncertainty Channel of the Coronavirus pp. 05 Downloads
Sylvain Leduc and Zheng Liu

2020, volume 2020, articles 06

Why Is Unemployment Currently So Low? pp. 05 Downloads
Marianna Kudlyak and Mitchell Ochse

2020, volume 2020, articles 05

Is the Risk of the Lower Bound Reducing Inflation? pp. 05 Downloads
Robert Amano, Thomas Carter and Sylvain Leduc

2020, volume 2020, articles 04

The New Stone Soup pp. 07 Downloads
Mary Daly

2020, volume 2020, articles 03

Wringing the Overoptimism from FOMC Growth Forecasts pp. 05 Downloads
Kevin Lansing and Winnie Yee

2020, volume 2020, articles 02

Who from Out of the Labor Force Is Most Likely to Find a Job? pp. 05 Downloads
Marianna Kudlyak

2020, volume 2020, articles 01

Long-Run Effects of the Earned Income Tax Credit pp. 05 Downloads
David Neumark and Peter Shirley
Page updated 2022-05-22