FRBSF Economic Letter

1973 - 2025

From Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
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2012, articles dec24

Monetary policy and interest rate uncertainty

Michael Bauer

2012, articles dec3

External shocks and China’s monetary policy

Zheng Liu and Mark Spiegel

2012, articles dec17

Will the jobless rate drop take a break?

Mary Daly, Early Elias, Bart Hobijn and Oscar Jorda

2012, articles nov13

The Federal Reserve’s unconventional policies

John Williams

2012, articles nov26

Highway grants: roads to prosperity?

Sylvain Leduc and Daniel Wilson

2012, articles nov5

Did the housing boom affect mortgage choices?

Frederick Furlong and Yelena Takhtamanova

2012, articles oct1

The economic outlook and Federal Reserve policy

John Williams

2012, articles oct29

Credit access following a mortgage default

William Hedberg and John Krainer

2012, articles oct15

Is China due for a slowdown?

Israel Malkin and Mark Spiegel

2012, articles sep24

The financial crisis and inflation expectations

Bharat Trehan and Oskar Zorrilla

2012, articles sep4

Assessing state business climate indexes

Jed Kolko, Marisol Cuellar Mejia and David Neumark

2012, articles sep17

Uncertainty, unemployment, and inflation

Sylvain Leduc and Zheng Liu

2012, articles aug27

Small business loans and small bank health

Elizabeth Laderman

2012, articles aug6

Pricey oil, cheap natural gas, and energy costs

Galina Hale and Fernanda Nechio

2012, articles aug20

Consumer debt and the economic recovery

John Krainer

2012, articles aug13

Asia’s role in the post-crisis global economy

Reuven Glick and Mark Spiegel

2012, articles july9

Monetary policy, money, and inflation

John Williams

2012, articles july2

U.S. fiscal policy: headwind or tailwind?

Brian Lucking and Daniel Wilson

2012, articles july23

The outlook and monetary policy challenges

John Williams

2012, articles jun25

Housing bubbles and homeownership returns

Marius Jurgilas and Kevin Lansing

2012, articles jun11

Structural and cyclical economic factors

Eric Swanson

2012, articles jun4

Are U.S. corporate bonds exposed to Europe?

Galina Hale, Elliot Marks and Fernanda Nechio

2012, articles may21

Fed asset buying and private borrowing rates

Michael Bauer

2012, articles may7

Commodity prices and PCE inflation

Galina Hale, Bart Hobijn and Rachna Raina

2012, articles may14

Liquidity risk and credit in the financial crisis

Philip E. Strahan

2012, articles apr2

Why has wage growth stayed strong?

Mary Daly, Bart Hobijn and Brian Lucking

2012, articles apr16

Credit: a starring role in the downturn

Oscar Jorda

2012, articles apr30

Worker skills and job quality

David Neumark and Robert Valletta

2012, articles apr9

The slow recovery: it’s not just housing

John Williams

2012, articles mar5

Do Fed TIPS purchases affect market liquidity?

Jens Christensen and James M. Gillan

2012, articles mar26

Emerging Asia: two paths through the storm

Galina Hale and Alec Kennedy

2012, articles mar19

Job creation policies and the Great Recession

David Neumark

2012, articles feb27

U.S. and euro-area monetary policy by regions

Israel Malkin and Fernanda Nechio

2012, articles feb6

Government spending: an economic boost?

Daniel Wilson

2012, articles feb13

Mortgage prepayment: an avenue foreclosed?

Elizabeth Laderman

2012, articles jan9

Bilateralism, multilateralism, and trade rules

Carolyn Evans

2012, articles jan17

The Federal Reserve and the economic recovery

John Williams

2012, articles jan30

Why is unemployment duration so long?

Katherine Kuang and Robert Valletta

2011, articles dec.5

Asset price booms and current account deficits

Paul Bergin

2011, articles dec.19

Fluctuating fortunes and Hawaiian house prices

John Krainer and James A. Wilcox

2011, articles nov.14

Future recession risks: an update

Travis Berge, Early Elias and Oscar Jorda

2011, articles nov.7

What moves the interest rate term structure?

Michael Bauer

2011, articles nov.21

Signals from unconventional monetary policy

Michael Bauer and Glenn Rudebusch

2011, articles oct24

What's in your wallet? the future of cash

Jeremy Gerst and Daniel Wilson

2011, articles oct3

Unconventional monetary policy: lessons from the past three years

John Williams

2011, articles oct17

Recent trends in small business lending

James M. Gillan and Elizabeth Laderman

2011, articles sep19

Cap rates and commercial property prices

Bart Hobijn, John Krainer and David Lang

2011, articles sep26

Recent layoffs in a fragile labor market

Katherine Kuang and Robert Valletta

2011, articles sep12

Credit union mergers: efficiencies and benefits

Luis G. Dopico and James A. Wilcox

2011, articles aug22

Boomer retirement: headwinds for U.S. equity markets?

Zheng Liu and Mark Spiegel

2011, articles aug8

The U.S. content of “Made in China”

Galina Hale and Bart Hobijn

2011, articles aug1

Does headline inflation converge to core?

Zheng Liu and Justin Weidner

2011, articles aug29

Variable capital rules in a risky world

Oscar Jorda

2011, articles july18

Securitization and small business

James A. Wilcox

2011, articles july11

Gauging the impact of the Great Recession

Kevin Lansing

2011, articles july25

When will residential construction rebound?

William Hedberg and John Krainer

2011, articles june13

Monetary policy when one size does not fit all

Fernanda Nechio

2011, articles june20

TIPS liquidity, breakeven inflation, and inflation expectations

Jens Christensen and James M. Gillan

2011, articles june27

Stress testing and bank capital supervision

Frederick Furlong

2011, articles june6

Economics instruction and the brave new world of monetary policy

John Williams

2011, articles may23

Household inflation expectations and the price of oil: it's déjà vu all over again

Bharat Trehan

2011, articles may16

What is the value of bank output?

Titan Alon, John Fernald, Robert Inklaar and J. Christina Wang

2011, articles may9

Maintaining price stability in a global economy

John Williams

2011, articles apr25

Operation Twist and the effect of large-scale asset purchases

Titan Alon and Eric Swanson

2011, articles apr11

The Fed's interest rate risk

Glenn Rudebusch

2011, articles apr18

Has the Treasury benefited from issuing TIPS?

Jens Christensen and James M. Gillan

2011, articles apr4

Are large-scale asset purchases fueling the rise in commodity prices?

Reuven Glick and Sylvain Leduc

2011, articles mar7

Long-run impact of the crisis in Europe: reforms and austerity measures

Fernanda Nechio

2011, articles mar14

Life-cycle shocks and income

Kenneth Couch, Mary Daly and Colin Gardiner

2011, articles mar21

Recent college graduates and the labor market

Colin Gardiner, Bart Hobijn and Theodore Wiles

2011, articles feb14

What is the new normal unemployment rate?

Justin Weidner and John Williams

2011, articles feb28

Could we have learned from the Asian financial crisis of 1997–98?

Galina Hale

2011, articles feb7

Do initial claims overstate layoffs?

Bart Hobijn and Aysegul Sahin

2011, articles jan18

Consumers and the economy, part II: Household debt and the weak U.S. recovery

Atif Mian and Amir Sufi

2011, articles jan10

Consumers and the economy, part I: Household credit and personal saving

Reuven Glick and Kevin Lansing

2011, articles jan31

Estimating the macroeconomic effects of the Fed’s asset purchases

Hess Chung, Jean-Philippe Laforte, David L. Reifschneider and John Williams