FRBSF Economic Letter

1973 - 2025

From Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
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2011, articles dec.5

Asset price booms and current account deficits

Paul Bergin

2011, articles dec.19

Fluctuating fortunes and Hawaiian house prices

John Krainer and James A. Wilcox

2011, articles nov.7

What moves the interest rate term structure?

Michael Bauer

2011, articles nov.14

Future recession risks: an update

Travis Berge, Early Elias and Oscar Jorda

2011, articles nov.21

Signals from unconventional monetary policy

Michael Bauer and Glenn Rudebusch

2011, articles oct17

Recent trends in small business lending

James M. Gillan and Elizabeth Laderman

2011, articles oct3

Unconventional monetary policy: lessons from the past three years

John Williams

2011, articles oct24

What's in your wallet? the future of cash

Jeremy Gerst and Daniel Wilson

2011, articles sep26

Recent layoffs in a fragile labor market

Katherine Kuang and Robert Valletta

2011, articles sep12

Credit union mergers: efficiencies and benefits

Luis G. Dopico and James A. Wilcox

2011, articles sep19

Cap rates and commercial property prices

Bart Hobijn, John Krainer and David Lang

2011, articles aug8

The U.S. content of “Made in China”

Galina Hale and Bart Hobijn

2011, articles aug29

Variable capital rules in a risky world

Oscar Jorda

2011, articles aug1

Does headline inflation converge to core?

Zheng Liu and Justin Weidner

2011, articles aug22

Boomer retirement: headwinds for U.S. equity markets?

Zheng Liu and Mark Spiegel

2011, articles july25

When will residential construction rebound?

William Hedberg and John Krainer

2011, articles july11

Gauging the impact of the Great Recession

Kevin Lansing

2011, articles july18

Securitization and small business

James A. Wilcox

2011, articles june27

Stress testing and bank capital supervision

Frederick Furlong

2011, articles june20

TIPS liquidity, breakeven inflation, and inflation expectations

Jens Christensen and James M. Gillan

2011, articles june6

Economics instruction and the brave new world of monetary policy

John Williams

2011, articles june13

Monetary policy when one size does not fit all

Fernanda Nechio

2011, articles may23

Household inflation expectations and the price of oil: it's déjà vu all over again

Bharat Trehan

2011, articles may9

Maintaining price stability in a global economy

John Williams

2011, articles may16

What is the value of bank output?

Titan Alon, John Fernald, Robert Inklaar and J. Christina Wang

2011, articles apr25

Operation Twist and the effect of large-scale asset purchases

Titan Alon and Eric Swanson

2011, articles apr4

Are large-scale asset purchases fueling the rise in commodity prices?

Reuven Glick and Sylvain Leduc

2011, articles apr11

The Fed's interest rate risk

Glenn Rudebusch

2011, articles apr18

Has the Treasury benefited from issuing TIPS?

Jens Christensen and James M. Gillan

2011, articles mar7

Long-run impact of the crisis in Europe: reforms and austerity measures

Fernanda Nechio

2011, articles mar21

Recent college graduates and the labor market

Colin Gardiner, Bart Hobijn and Theodore Wiles

2011, articles mar14

Life-cycle shocks and income

Kenneth Couch, Mary Daly and Colin Gardiner

2011, articles feb14

What is the new normal unemployment rate?

Justin Weidner and John Williams

2011, articles feb7

Do initial claims overstate layoffs?

Bart Hobijn and Aysegul Sahin

2011, articles feb28

Could we have learned from the Asian financial crisis of 1997–98?

Galina Hale

2011, articles jan31

Estimating the macroeconomic effects of the Fed’s asset purchases

Hess Chung, Jean-Philippe Laforte, David L. Reifschneider and John Williams

2011, articles jan10

Consumers and the economy, part I: Household credit and personal saving

Reuven Glick and Kevin Lansing

2011, articles jan18

Consumers and the economy, part II: Household debt and the weak U.S. recovery

Atif Mian and Amir Sufi

2010, articles dec6

The breadth of disinflation

Colin Gardiner and Bart Hobijn

2010, articles dec13

Mortgage-backed securities: how important is \\"skin in the game\\"?

Christopher James

2010, articles dec20

Risky mortgages and mortgage default premiums

John Krainer and Stephen LeRoy

2010, articles nov8

Is structural unemployment on the rise?

Katherine Kuang and Robert Valletta

2010, articles nov1

The Greek crisis: Argentina revisited?

Fernanda Nechio

2010, articles nov22

Confidence and the business cycle

Sylvain Leduc

2010, articles oct25

TIPS and the risk of deflation

Jens Christensen

2010, articles oct4

Convex payoffs: implications for risk-taking and financial reform

Stephen LeRoy

2010, articles oct18

Underwater mortgages

John Krainer and Stephen LeRoy

2010, articles sep13

Labor force participation and the future path of unemployment

Mary Daly, Bart Hobijn and Joyce Kwok

2010, articles sep27

Forecasting growth over the next year with a business cycle index

David Lang and Kevin Lansing

2010, articles sep20

Is the recent productivity boom over?

Daniel Wilson

2010, articles aug23

Financial market imperfections and macroeconomics: conference summary

Eric Swanson

2010, articles aug30

The effect of immigrants on U.S. employment and productivity

Giovanni Peri

2010, articles aug2

Stock-market-based measures of sectoral shocks and the unemployment rate

Puneet Chehal, Prakash Loungani and Bharat Trehan

2010, articles aug9

Future recession risks

Travis Berge and Oscar Jorda

2010, articles jul19

Mortgage prepayments and changing underwriting standards

William Hedberg and John Krainer

2010, articles jul12

Lifecycle investment decisions and labor income risk

Luca Benzoni and Robert S. Goldstein

2010, articles jun21

Challenges in economic capital modeling

Jose Lopez

2010, articles jun14

The Fed's exit strategy for monetary policy

Glenn Rudebusch

2010, articles jun28

Fiscal crises of the states: causes and consequences

Jeremy Gerst and Daniel Wilson

2010, articles jun7

The “inflation” in inflation targeting

Richard Dennis

2010, articles may24

Loss provisions and bank charge-offs in the financial crisis: lesson learned

Frederick Furlong and Zena Knight

2010, articles may17

The shape of things to come

Justin Weidner and John Williams

2010, articles may3

Is the “invisible hand” still relevant?

Stephen LeRoy

2010, articles apr26

The U.S. and world economic geography before and after the downturn: conference summary

Daniel Wilson

2010, articles apr5

The housing drag on core inflation

Stefano Eusepi, Bart Hobijn and Andrea Tambalotti

2010, articles apr19

Extended unemployment and UI benefits

Katherine Kuang and Robert Valletta

2010, articles mar29

The outlook for the economy and inflation, and the case for Federal Reserve independence

Janet Yellen

2010, articles mar15

Asia and the global financial crisis: conference summary

Reuven Glick and Mark Spiegel

2010, articles mar8

Okun’s law and the unemployment surprise of 2009

Mary Daly and Bart Hobijn

2010, articles mar22

What is China's capital seeking in a global environment?

Titan Alon, Galina Hale and Joao Santos

2010, articles feb16

Diagnosing recessions

Oscar Jorda

2010, articles feb22

Can structural models of default explain the credit spread puzzle?

Robert S. Goldstein

2010, articles feb8

Hong Kong and China and the global recession

Janet Yellen

2010, articles feb1

Mortgage choice and the pricing of fixed-rate and adjustable-rate mortgages

John Krainer

2010, articles jan11

Global household leverage, house prices, and consumption

Reuven Glick and Kevin Lansing

2010, articles jan19

Inflation: mind the gap

Zheng Liu and Glenn Rudebusch