FRBSF Economic Letter

1973 - 2025

From Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
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2010, articles dec20

Risky mortgages and mortgage default premiums

John Krainer and Stephen LeRoy

2010, articles dec13

Mortgage-backed securities: how important is \\"skin in the game\\"?

Christopher James

2010, articles dec6

The breadth of disinflation

Colin Gardiner and Bart Hobijn

2010, articles nov1

The Greek crisis: Argentina revisited?

Fernanda Nechio

2010, articles nov8

Is structural unemployment on the rise?

Katherine Kuang and Robert Valletta

2010, articles nov22

Confidence and the business cycle

Sylvain Leduc

2010, articles oct4

Convex payoffs: implications for risk-taking and financial reform

Stephen LeRoy

2010, articles oct18

Underwater mortgages

John Krainer and Stephen LeRoy

2010, articles oct25

TIPS and the risk of deflation

Jens Christensen

2010, articles sep13

Labor force participation and the future path of unemployment

Mary Daly, Bart Hobijn and Joyce Kwok

2010, articles sep20

Is the recent productivity boom over?

Daniel Wilson

2010, articles sep27

Forecasting growth over the next year with a business cycle index

David Lang and Kevin Lansing

2010, articles aug9

Future recession risks

Travis Berge and Oscar Jorda

2010, articles aug30

The effect of immigrants on U.S. employment and productivity

Giovanni Peri

2010, articles aug23

Financial market imperfections and macroeconomics: conference summary

Eric Swanson

2010, articles aug2

Stock-market-based measures of sectoral shocks and the unemployment rate

Puneet Chehal, Prakash Loungani and Bharat Trehan

2010, articles jul19

Mortgage prepayments and changing underwriting standards

William Hedberg and John Krainer

2010, articles jul12

Lifecycle investment decisions and labor income risk

Luca Benzoni and Robert S. Goldstein

2010, articles jun7

The “inflation” in inflation targeting

Richard Dennis

2010, articles jun28

Fiscal crises of the states: causes and consequences

Jeremy Gerst and Daniel Wilson

2010, articles jun14

The Fed's exit strategy for monetary policy

Glenn Rudebusch

2010, articles jun21

Challenges in economic capital modeling

Jose Lopez

2010, articles may24

Loss provisions and bank charge-offs in the financial crisis: lesson learned

Frederick Furlong and Zena Knight

2010, articles may17

The shape of things to come

Justin Weidner and John Williams

2010, articles may3

Is the “invisible hand” still relevant?

Stephen LeRoy

2010, articles apr26

The U.S. and world economic geography before and after the downturn: conference summary

Daniel Wilson

2010, articles apr19

Extended unemployment and UI benefits

Katherine Kuang and Robert Valletta

2010, articles apr5

The housing drag on core inflation

Stefano Eusepi, Bart Hobijn and Andrea Tambalotti

2010, articles mar22

What is China's capital seeking in a global environment?

Titan Alon, Galina Hale and Joao Santos

2010, articles mar15

Asia and the global financial crisis: conference summary

Reuven Glick and Mark Spiegel

2010, articles mar29

The outlook for the economy and inflation, and the case for Federal Reserve independence

Janet Yellen

2010, articles mar8

Okun’s law and the unemployment surprise of 2009

Mary Daly and Bart Hobijn

2010, articles feb22

Can structural models of default explain the credit spread puzzle?

Robert S. Goldstein

2010, articles feb8

Hong Kong and China and the global recession

Janet Yellen

2010, articles feb1

Mortgage choice and the pricing of fixed-rate and adjustable-rate mortgages

John Krainer

2010, articles feb16

Diagnosing recessions

Oscar Jorda

2010, articles jan11

Global household leverage, house prices, and consumption

Reuven Glick and Kevin Lansing

2010, articles jan19

Inflation: mind the gap

Zheng Liu and Glenn Rudebusch

2009, articles dec7

Capital structure in banking

Simon Kwan

2009, articles dec14

Bank relationships and the depth of the current economic crisis

Julian Caballero, Christopher Candelaria and Galina Hale

2009, articles nov9

Talking about tomorrow’s monetary policy today

Puneet Chehal and Bharat Trehan

2009, articles nov2

Inflation expectations and the risk of deflation

Jens Christensen

2009, articles nov23

Linkages between monetary and regulatory policy: lessons from the crisis

Janet Yellen

2009, articles oct5

Disagreement about the inflation outlook

Sylvain Leduc, Glenn Rudebusch and Justin Weidner

2009, articles oct26

Recent developments in mortgage finance

John Krainer

2009, articles oct19

Gauging aggregate credit market conditions

Jose Lopez

2009, articles sep28

Predicting crises, part II: Did anything matter (to everybody)?

Andrew Rose and Mark Spiegel

2009, articles sep21

Predicting crises, part I: Do coming crises cast their shadows before?

Bharat Trehan

2009, articles sep8

New highs in unemployment insurance claims

Aisling Cleary, Joyce Kwok and Robert Valletta

2009, articles aug31

Credit market conditions and the use of bank lines of credit

Christopher James

2009, articles aug10

Have the Fed liquidity facilities had an effect on Libor?

Jens Christensen

2009, articles aug17

Growth accounting, potential output, and the current recession

John Fernald and Kyle Matoba

2009, articles aug3

Did welfare reform work for everyone? a look at young single mothers

Mary Daly and Joyce Kwok

2009, articles jul6

A view of the economic crisis and the Federal Reserve's response

Janet Yellen

2009, articles jul20

Macroeconomic models for monetary policy: conference summary

Eric Swanson

2009, articles jun19

Fighting downturns with fiscal policy

Sylvain Leduc

2009, articles jun29

Employer health benefits and insurance expansions: Hawaii's experience

Thomas Buchmueller, John DiNardo and Robert Valletta

2009, articles jun12

How big is the output gap?

Justin Weidner and John Williams

2009, articles jun5

Jobless recovery redux?

Mary Daly, Bart Hobijn and Joyce Kwok

2009, articles may22

The Fed's monetary policy response to the current crisis

Glenn Rudebusch

2009, articles may15

U.S. household deleveraging and future consumption growth

Reuven Glick and Kevin Lansing

2009, articles may1

A Minsky meltdown: lessons for central bankers

Janet Yellen

2009, articles apr17

Are fiscal stimulus funds going to the \\"right\\" states?

Daniel Wilson

2009, articles apr10

Interprovincial inequality in China

Christopher Candelaria, Mary Daly and Galina Hale

2009, articles mar13

2008 Annual Pacific Basin Conference: summary

Reuven Glick

2009, articles mar20

The outlook for productivity growth: symposium summary

Mark Doms

2009, articles mar27

The risk of deflation

John Williams

2009, articles mar6

How will a credit crunch affect small business finance?

Gregory Udell

2009, articles feb20

Tax credits for job creation and retention: What can we learn from the states?

Charles Notzon and Daniel Wilson

2009, articles feb13

Out-of-market small business loans

Elizabeth Laderman

2009, articles feb6

House prices and bank loan performance

John Krainer

2009, articles jan23

Behavior of Libor in the current financial crisis

Simon Kwan

2009, articles jan14

The Tech Pulse Index: recent trends in tech-sector activity

Bart Hobijn

2009, articles jan30

Labor supply responses to changes in wealth and credit

Mary Daly, Bart Hobijn and Joyce Kwok

2009, articles jan9

U.S. monetary policy objectives in the short and long run

Janet Yellen