When will residential construction rebound?

William Hedberg and John Krainer

FRBSF Economic Letter, 2011, issue july25

Abstract: Over the past several years, U.S. housing starts have dropped to around 400,000 units at an annualized rate, the lowest level in decades. A simple model of housing supply that takes into account residential mortgage foreclosures suggests that housing starts will return to their long-run average by about 2014 if house prices first stabilize and then begin appreciating, and the bloated inventory of foreclosed properties declines.

Keywords: Housing; Construction industry (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
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