FRBSF Economic Letter

1973 - 2025

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2025, volume 2025, articles 24

Measuring Labor Market Similarities in Nearby Regions pp. 6

Leila Bengali and Cheikh Fall

2025, volume 2025, articles 23

Market Reactions to Tariff Announcements pp. 6

Rohit Garimella, Simon Kwan and Thomas Mertens

2025, volume 2025, articles 22

Steady Through Change: In Policy, Business, and Life pp. 4

Mary Daly

2025, volume 2025, articles 21

Industry Decline and Household Finances pp. 6

Joshua Blonz, Brigitte Roth Tran, Sarah Siegel, Erin Troland and Cindy Zhao

2025, volume 2025, articles 20

Will Trade Uncertainty Boost Automation? pp. 6

Deepika Baskar Prabhakar, Hamid Firooz, Sylvain Leduc and Zheng Liu

2025, volume 2025, articles 19

Tracking Labor Market Stress pp. 6

Rohit Garimella, Oscar Jorda and Sanjay Singh

2025, volume 2025, articles 18

Tracking Business Sentiment in the Western United States pp. 6

Hamza Abdelrahman, Luiz E. Oliveira and Aditi Poduri

2025, volume 2025, articles 16

The Economic Implications of Tariff Increases pp. 5

Caroline M. Paulson, Aditi Poduri, Aayush Singh and Mauricio Ulate

The Zero Lower Bound Remains a Medium-Term Risk pp. 6

Sophia Cho, Thomas Mertens and John Williams

2025, volume 2025, articles 15

Dynamic Central Bank Communication pp. 6

Mary Daly

2025, volume 2025, articles 14

Is Demand or Supply More Important for Inflation? pp. 6

Kevin Lansing

2025, volume 2025, articles 13

Do Local Economic Conditions Influence FOMC Votes? pp. 5

Anton E. Bobrov, Rupal Kamdar, Caroline M. Paulson, Aditi Poduri and Mauricio Ulate

2025, volume 2025, articles 12

The Effects of Tariffs on Inflation and Production Costs pp. 6

Bart Hobijn and Fernanda Nechio

2025, volume 2025, articles 11

A Rising Star: The Natural Interest Rate in the Euro Area pp. 6

Jens Christensen and Sarah Mouabbi

2025, volume 2025, articles 10

Underlying Trends in the U.S. Neutral Interest Rate pp. 6

Carlos Carvalho, Andrea Ferrero, Felipe Mazin and Fernanda Nechio

2025, volume 2025, articles 09

Assessing the Recent Rise in Unemployment pp. 6

Greeshma Avaradi, Marianna Kudlyak, Brandon E. Miskanic and David Wiczer

2025, volume 2025, articles 08

The Changing Disparity in Prices Across States pp. 6

Sabrina J. Considine and Andrew Foerster

2025, volume 2025, articles 07

Do Low Survey Response Rates Threaten Data Dependence? pp. 5

Sylvain Leduc, Luiz E. Oliveira and Caroline M. Paulson

2025, volume 2025, articles 05

Current Perceptions About Monetary Policy pp. 6

Michael Bauer, Carolin Pflueger and Adi Sunderam

2025, volume 2025, articles 04

What’s Driving Labor Force Participation Among Women? pp. 5

Deepika Baskar Prabhakar, Sabrina J. Considine, Brandon E. Miskanic and Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau

2025, volume 2025, articles 3

Does Monetary Policy Tightening Reduce Inflation? pp. 6

Rami Najjar and Adam Shapiro

2025, volume 2025, articles 02

Ben Bernanke: Solving a Crisis, Changing the Fed pp. 7

Mary Daly

2025, volume 2025, articles 01

Pandemic-Era Demand Squeezed Housing Inventories pp. 6

Valeska Fresquet Kohan, John Mondragon and Adam Shapiro

2024, volume 2025, articles 06

The Ups and Downs of Household Income pp. 6

Deepika Baskar Prabhakar and Robert Valletta

2024, volume 2024, articles 32

Are Water Resources Keeping Up with U.S. Economic Needs? pp. 6

Cheikh Fall, Christian A. Hilgemann and Ishan Nath

2024, volume 2024, articles 31

Productivity During and Since the Pandemic pp. 6

John Fernald, Huiyu Li, Brigid C. Meisenbacher and Aren S. Yalcin

2024, volume 2024, articles 30

How Much Has the Cooling Economy Reduced Inflation? pp. 5

Régis Barnichon and Adam Shapiro

2024, volume 2024, articles 29

Examining the Performance of FOMC Inflation Forecasts pp. 6

Hamza Abdelrahman, Kevin Lansing and Luiz E. Oliveira

2024, volume 2024, articles 28

Landing Softly Is Just the Beginning pp. 6

Mary Daly

Consumer and Firm Perceptions of the Aggregate Labor Market Conditions pp. 20

Marianna Kudlyak and Brandon E. Miskanic

2024, volume 2024, articles 27

International Influences on U.S. Inflation pp. 6

River Bell, Oscar Jorda, Fernanda Nechio, Aditi Poduri and Stephanie Stewart

2024, volume 2024, articles 26

Job Vacancies and Firms’ Labor Market Perceptions pp. 5

Marianna Kudlyak and Brandon E. Miskanic

2024, volume 2024, articles 25

How Aware Is the Public of Labor Market Conditions? pp. 6

Marianna Kudlyak and Brandon E. Miskanic

2024, volume 2024, articles 23

When Is Shelter Services Inflation Coming Down?

Oscar Jorda and Aren S. Yalcin

2024, volume 2024, articles 21

Pandemic-Era Liquid Wealth Is Running Dry pp. 6

Hamza Abdelrahman, Luiz E. Oliveira and Adam Shapiro

2024, volume 2024, articles 20

Bank Franchise as a Stabilizing Force pp. 6

Simon Kwan and Zinnia Martinez

2024, volume 2024, articles 19

Recent Spike in Immigration and Easing Labor Markets pp. 6

Evgeniya A. Duzhak

2024, volume 2024, articles 18

Breakeven Employment Growth pp. 5

Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau and Stephanie Stewart

2024, volume 2024, articles 17

Getting It Right: Meeting Uncertainty with Conditionality pp. 6

Mary Daly

2024, volume 2024, articles 16

Anatomy of the Post-Pandemic Monetary Tightening Cycle pp. 5

Andrew Foerster and Zinnia Martinez

2024, volume 2024, articles 15

Why Are Overall Profits Outpacing Financing Costs?

Anton E. Bobrov, Carter Davis, Alexandre Sollaci and James Traina

2024, volume 2024, articles 14

Impact of U.S. Labor Productivity Losses from Extreme Heat

Gregory Casey, Stephie Fried and Matthew Gibson

2024, volume 2024, articles 13

What’s Up with Inflation Expectations in Japan? pp. 6

Jens Christensen and Mark Spiegel

2024, volume 2024, articles 12

Are Markups Driving the Ups and Downs of Inflation? pp. 5

Sylvain Leduc, Huiyu Li and Zheng Liu

2024, volume 2024, articles 11

Economic Effects of Tighter Lending by Banks pp. 6

Vasco Cúrdia

2024, volume 2024, articles 10

How Quickly Do Prices Respond to Monetary Policy? pp. 5

Zoë Arnaut-Hull and Leila Bengali

2024, volume 2024, articles 08

To Retire or Keep Working after a Pandemic? pp. 5

Brandon E. Miskanic, Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau and Cindy Zhao

2024, volume 2024, articles 07

Monetary Policy and Financial Conditions pp. 6

Zoë Arnaut-Hull and Michael Bauer

2024, volume 2024, articles 06

The Rise and Fall of Pandemic Excess Wealth pp. 6

Hamza Abdelrahman, Luiz E. Oliveira and Adam Shapiro

2024, volume 2024, articles 04

The Long-Run Fiscal Outlook in the United States pp. 5

Brigid C. Meisenbacher and Daniel Wilson

2024, volume 2024, articles 03

Why Is Prime-Age Labor Force Participation So High? pp. 6

Deepika Baskar Prabhakar and Robert Valletta

2024, volume 2024, articles 02

Does Working from Home Boost Productivity Growth? pp. 6

John Fernald, Ethan Goode, Huiyu Li and Brigid C. Meisenbacher

2024, volume 2024, articles 01

Extreme Weather and Financial Market Uncertainty pp. 5

Augustus Kmetz, Mathias S. Kruttli, Brigitte Roth Tran, Sumudu Watugala and Alan Yan

Price Stability Built to Last pp. 6

Mary Daly