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Immigration and Changes in Labor Force Demographics

Evgeniya A. Duzhak and Addie New-Schmidt
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Evgeniya A. Duzhak: https://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/economists/evgeniya-duzhak/

FRBSF Economic Letter, 2025, vol. 2025, issue 28, 6

Abstract: Recent shifts in immigration flows have lowered the estimates of net international migration into the United States. New data indicate that net migration will be close to half a million people in 2025, down from 2.2 million in 2024. Estimates based on these data and on past trends for the U.S.-born population suggest that this could lead to a decrease in the working-age population and slower growth in the prime-age labor force. Continued low levels of immigration would lead to decreases in the total prime-age labor force.

Keywords: immigration; immigration flows; International migration; net migration; working-age population; Prime-age labor force (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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