FRBSF Economic Letter

1973 - 2025

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2023, volume 2024, articles 24

The Macroeconomic Impact of Cash Transfers in Brazil pp. 5

Leo Feler, Arthur Mendes, Wataru Miyamoto, Thuy Lan Nguyen and Steven Pennings

2023, volume 2023, articles 32

From Hiring Difficulties to Labor Hoarding? pp. 6

Sylvain Leduc and Luiz E. Oliveira

2023, volume 2023, articles 31

Do Banks Lend to Distressed Firms? pp. 5

Miguel Faria-e-Castro, Pascal Paul and Juan Sanchez

2023, volume 2023, articles 30

What the Moment Demands pp. 6

Mary Daly

2023, volume 2023, articles 28

Global Market Discipline during Recent Policy Tightening

Anton E. Bobrov and Mark Spiegel

2023, volume 2023, articles 27

The Bell Curve of Global CO2 Emission Intensity pp. 6

Zoë Arnaut-Hull, Oscar Jorda and Fernanda Nechio

2023, volume 2023, articles 25

How Much Do Work Interruptions Reduce Mothers’ Wages? pp. 6

Na'ama Shenhav

2023, volume 2023, articles 24

Inflation Expectations, the Phillips Curve, and Stock Prices pp. 6

Kevin Lansing and Federico Calogero Nucera

2023, volume 2023, articles 23

Does Monetary Policy Have Long-Run Effects? pp. 6

Oscar Jorda, Sanjay Singh and Alan Taylor

2023, volume 2023, articles 22

Falling College Wage Premiums by Race and Ethnicity pp. 6

Leila Bengali, Marcus Sander, Robert Valletta and Cindy Zhao

2023, volume 2023, articles 21

The Evolution of Disagreement in the Dot Plot pp. 6

Andrew Foerster

2023, volume 2023, articles 20

How Far Is Labor Force Participation from Its Trend? pp. 5

Andreas Hornstein, Marianna Kudlyak, Brigid C. Meisenbacher and David Ramachandran

2023, volume 2023, articles 19

Where Is Shelter Inflation Headed? pp. 6

Augustus Kmetz, Schuyler Louie and John Mondragon

2023, volume 2023, articles 18

Will a Cooler Labor Market Slow Supercore Inflation? pp. 6

Sylvain Leduc, Daniel Wilson and Cindy Zhao

2023, volume 2023, articles 17

Reducing Inflation along a Nonlinear Phillips Curve pp. 5

Erin E. Crust, Kevin Lansing and Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau

2023, volume 2023, articles 16

Why Immigration Is an Urban Phenomenon pp. 5

Joan Monras

2023, volume 2023, articles 15

How Long Do Rising Temperatures Affect Economic Growth? pp. 6

Gregory Casey, Stephie Fried and Ethan Goode

2023, volume 2023, articles 14

Global Supply Chain Pressures and U.S. Inflation pp. 6

Zheng Liu and Thuy Lan Nguyen

2023, volume 2023, articles 13

How Much Do Labor Costs Drive Inflation? pp. 6

Adam Shapiro

2023, volume 2023, articles 12

The Choice to See pp. 4

Mary Daly

2023, volume 2023, articles 11

The Rise and Fall of Pandemic Excess Savings pp. 6

Hamza Abdelrahman and Luiz E. Oliveira

2023, volume 2023, articles 10

Small Business Lending and the Paycheck Protection Program pp. 6

Jack Mueller and Mark Spiegel

2023, volume 2023, articles 09

House Prices Respond Promptly to Monetary Policy Surprises pp. 5

Denis Gorea, Augustus Kmetz, Oleksiy Kryvtsov, Marianna Kudlyak and Mitchell Ochse

Recent and Near-Term Fiscal Policy: Headwind or Tailwind? pp. 5

Brigid C. Meisenbacher and Daniel Wilson

2023, volume 2023, articles 08

Forward-Looking Policy in a Real-Time World pp. 8

Mary Daly

2023, volume 2023, articles 07

Age Discrimination and Age Stereotypes in Job Ads pp. 5

Ian Burn, Daniel Firoozi, Daniel Ladd and David Neumark

2023, volume 2023, articles 06

The Role of Immigration in U.S. Labor Market Tightness pp. 6

Evgeniya A. Duzhak

Men’s Falling Labor Force Participation across Generations pp. 6

Leila Bengali, Evgeniya A. Duzhak and Cindy Zhao

2023, volume 2023, articles 05

Evaluating Monetary Policy with Inflation Bands and Horizons pp. 6

Troy Davig and Andrew Foerster

2023, volume 2023, articles 04

Can Monetary Policy Tame Rent Inflation? pp. 6

Zheng Liu and Mollie Pepper

2023, volume 2023, articles 02

Supply Chain Disruptions, Trade Costs, and Labor Markets pp. 5

Andres Rodriguez-Clare, Mauricio Ulate and Jose Vasquez

2023, volume 2023, articles 01

Are Inflation Expectations Well Anchored in Mexico? pp. 6

Remy Beauregard, Jens Christensen, Eric Fischer and Simon Zhu

2022, volume 2023, articles 03

Financial Market Conditions during Monetary Tightening pp. 6

Simon Kwan and Louis Liu

2022, volume 2022, articles 36

Recession Prediction on the Clock pp. 06

Thomas Mertens

2022, volume 2022, articles 35

When the Fed Raises Rates, Are Banks Less Profitable? pp. 06

Pascal Paul

2022, volume 2022, articles 34

Oil Shocks when Interest Rates Are at the Zero Lower Bound pp. 5

Wataru Miyamoto, Thuy Lan Nguyen and Dmitriy Sergeyev

2022, volume 2022, articles 32

Passing Along Housing Wealth from Parents to Children pp. 6

Matteo Benetton, Marianna Kudlyak, Louis Liu, John Mondragon and Mitchell Ochse

2022, volume 2022, articles 31

Can the News Drive Inflation Expectations? pp. 6

Augustus Kmetz, Adam Shapiro and Daniel Wilson

2022, volume 2022, articles 30

Monetary Policy Stance Is Tighter than Federal Funds Rate pp. 5

Jason Choi, Taeyoung Doh, Andrew Foerster and Zinnia Martinez

2022, volume 2022, articles 29

Comparing Measures of Housing Inflation pp. 6

Leila Bengali

2022, volume 2022, articles 28

What If? Monetary Policy in Hindsight pp. 6

Régis Barnichon

2022, volume 2022, articles 27

The Singularity of the Dual Mandate pp. 8

Mary Daly

2022, volume 2022, articles 26

Remote Work and Housing Demand pp. 5

Augustus Kmetz, John Mondragon and Johannes Wieland

2022, volume 2022, articles 25

Wage Growth When Inflation Is High pp. 6

Oscar Jorda, Celeste Liu, Fernanda Nechio and Fabián Rivera-Reyes

2022, volume 2022, articles 24

Finding a Soft Landing along the Beveridge Curve pp. 6

Brandyn Bok, Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau, Robert Valletta and Mary Yilma

2022, volume 2022, articles 23

The Impact of Weather on Retail Sales pp. 5

Brigitte Roth Tran

Resolute and Mindful: The Path to Price Stability pp. 6

Mary Daly

2022, volume 2022, articles 22

Two Years into COVID, What’s the State of U.S. Businesses? pp. 6

Pascal Paul

2022, volume 2022, articles 21

Will Workers Demand Cost-of-Living Adjustments? pp. 6

Reuven Glick, Sylvain Leduc and Mollie Pepper

2022, volume 2022, articles 20

COVID-19 Fiscal Expansion and Inflation Expectations in Japan pp. 5

Jens Christensen and Mark Spiegel

2022, volume 2022, articles 19

The Unequal Effect of Interest Rates by Race, Gender pp. 5

Aina Puig

2022, volume 2022, articles 18

The Increase in Inflation Compensation: What’s Up? pp. 06

Jens Christensen

2022, volume 2022, articles 17

Policy Nimbleness Through Forward Guidance pp. 07

Mary Daly

2022, volume 2022, articles 16

Credit Conditions in the Pandemic Mortgage Market pp. 06

John Mondragon

2022, volume 2022, articles 15

How Much Do Supply and Demand Drive Inflation? pp. 06

Adam Shapiro

2022, volume 2022, articles 14

Estimating Natural Rates of Unemployment pp. 05

Brandyn Bok and Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau

2022, volume 2022, articles 13

Untangling Persistent versus Transitory Shocks to Inflation pp. 05

Kevin Lansing

2022, volume 2022, articles 12

Pandemic Unemployment Effects across Demographic Groups pp. 05

Evgeniya A. Duzhak

2022, volume 2022, articles 11

Current Recession Risk According to the Yield Curve pp. 05

Michael Bauer and Thomas Mertens

2022, volume 2022, articles 10

Steering Toward Sustainable Growth pp. 6

Mary Daly

2022, volume 2022, articles 09

Unemployment Insurance Withdrawal pp. 05

Sarah Albert, Olivia Lofton, Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau and Robert Valletta

2022, volume 2022, articles 08

“Great Resignations” Are Common During Fast Recoveries pp. 06

Bart Hobijn

2022, volume 2022, articles 07

Why Is U.S. Inflation Higher than in Other Countries? pp. 06

Oscar Jorda, Celeste Liu, Fernanda Nechio and Fabián Rivera-Reyes

2022, volume 2022, articles 06

How Are Businesses Responding to Climate Risk? pp. 06

Hishgee Jargalsaikhan, Sylvain Leduc and Luiz E. Oliveira

2022, volume 2022, articles 05

This Time Is Different…Because We Are pp. 08

Mary Daly

2022, volume 2022, articles 04

What’s the Best Measure of Economic Slack? pp. 05

Régis Barnichon and Adam Shapiro

2022, volume 2022, articles 03

Will Rising Rents Push Up Future Inflation? pp. 05

Kevin Lansing, Luiz E. Oliveira and Adam Shapiro

2022, volume 2022, articles 02

Searching for Maximum Employment pp. 06

Sarah Albert and Robert Valletta

2022, volume 2022, articles 01

Average Inflation Targeting in the Financial Crisis Recovery pp. 05

Vasco Cúrdia