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Searching for Maximum Employment

Sarah Albert and Robert Valletta

FRBSF Economic Letter, 2022, vol. 2022, issue 02, 06

Abstract: How well the economy is progressing toward the Federal Reserve’s goal of maximum employment is reflected in a range of indicators that evolve over time. Beyond the unemployment rate, two key metrics of labor market health are the labor force participation rate and the employment-to-population ratio. The aging of the population is reducing the levels of both measures, implying that they are unlikely to return to pre-pandemic highs. However, these two indicators remain well below their demographic trends, and analysis suggests that they will not recover to trend until 2024.

Keywords: employment; unemployment; labor force participation rate; employment-to-population ratio; demographics (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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