Economic Growth to Accelerate in 2018 and Then Ease in 2019 as Auto Sales Downshift

Thomas Haasl and William Strauss

Chicago Fed Letter, 2018, No 399

Abstract: According to participants in the Chicago Fed?s annual Automotive Outlook Symposium (AOS), the nation?s economic growth is forecasted to improve this year and then moderate close to its long-term average in 2019. Inflation is expected to increase in 2018 and to pull back in 2019. The unemployment rate is anticipated to decrease to 3.8% by the end of 2018, but then tick back up next year. Light vehicle sales are predicted to decrease from 17.2 million units in 2017 to 17.0 million units in 2018 and then to 16.7 million units in 201

Keywords: unemployment; Automobiles (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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DOI: 10.21033/cfl-2018-399

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