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Chicago Fed Letter

1987 - 2018

From Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
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Reinvesting After the Crisis: Changes in the Fixed-Income Portfolios of Life Insurers Downloads
Andy Polacek
Economic Outlook Symposium: Summary of 2017 Results and 2018 Forecasts Downloads
William Strauss and Thomas Haasl
Inequality and Recessions Downloads
Gene Amromin, Mariacristina De Nardi and Karl Schulze
Midwest Agriculture’s Ties to the Global Economy Downloads
David B. Oppedahl
The Winds of Change for Community Banking: Headwinds, Tailwinds, and Regulation Downloads
Romel Bonilla, Jenna Cooper, Adam Emmerich, Theresa Hembd, Pamela Kennedy, Blake Marquart and Joseph Nashar
The Structure of Federal Reserve Liabilities Downloads
Thomas Haasl, Anna Paulson and Sam Schulhofer-Wohl
Understanding the Demand for Currency at Home and Abroad Downloads
Thomas Haasl, Anna Paulson and Sam Schulhofer-Wohl
The Risks of Pricing New Insurance Products: The Case of Long-Term Care Downloads
Zain Mohey-Deen and Richard Rosen
Navigating Pension Reform in Illinois Downloads
Richard Mattoon and Sarah Wetmore
Economic Growth to Accelerate in 2018 and Then Ease in 2019 as Auto Sales Downshift Downloads
William Strauss and Thomas Haasl
A “Principled” Approach to International Guidance for Central Counterparties Downloads
Rebecca Lewis
Digital Innovation, Generational Shifts, and the Transformation of Financial Services Downloads
Lamont K. Black, Shruti Khetan, Emmanuel Akwafo, Nathan Halmrast, Christa Harris and Ana Oppenheimer
Preventing the Next State Budget Crisis: A Conference Summary Downloads
Richard Mattoon
What Does Labor Market Tightness Tell Us About the End of an Expansion? Downloads
Scott Brave and David Kelley
Why Does the Yield-Curve Slope Predict Recessions? Downloads
Luca Benzoni, Olena Chyruk and David Kelley
Catastrophe Bonds: A Primer and Retrospective Downloads
Andy Polacek
How Have Banks Responded to Changes in the Yield Curve? Downloads
Thomas B. King and Jonathan Yu
The Recent Rise in Health Care Inflation Downloads
Diane Alexander


Economic Outlook Symposium: Summary of 2016 Results and 2017 Forecasts Downloads
William Strauss and Thomas Haasl
Rules and Discretion in Life Insurance Regulation Downloads
Alejandro Drexler, Zain Mohey-Deen and Richard Rosen
The Downturn in Agriculture: Implications for the Midwest and the Future of Farming Downloads
David B. Oppedahl
Recent Declines in the Fed’s Longer-Run Economic Projections Downloads
Jonas Fisher and Christopher Russo
Tracking Detroit’s Economic Recovery After Bankruptcy with a New Index Downloads
Scott Brave and Paul Traub
Changes in the Risk-Management Environment for Monetary Policy Downloads
Jonas Fisher, Francois Gourio and Spencer D. Krane
Can the CFSBC Activity Index Nowcast U.S. Real GDP Growth? Downloads
Thomas Walstrum
Chicago’s Fiscal Future: Growth or Insolvency? A Conference Summary Downloads
Richard Mattoon and Sarah Wetmore
Female Labor Supply and Why Women Need to Be Included in Economic Models Downloads
Mariacristina De Nardi and Sharada Dharmasankar
Economy to Cruise Near Speed Limit in 2017 and 2018 Even as Auto Sales Downshift Downloads
William Strauss and Thomas Haasl
The Burden of Taxation in the United States and Germany Downloads
Lorenz Jarass, Anthony E. Tokman and Mark Wright
A New Era of Community Banking Downloads
Michael Austin, Marshall Eckblad, Courtney Markovich, Jacqunette Murray, Wade Perry, Mark L. J. Wright and Nick Strok
How Much Risk Do Variable Annuity Guarantees Pose to Life Insurers? Downloads
Alejandro Drexler, Thanases Plestis and Richard Rosen
Symposium on OTC Derivatives—A Conference Summary Downloads
Rebecca Lewis and Ning Yu
Introducing the Chicago Fed’s New Adjusted National Financial Conditions Index Downloads
Scott Brave and David L. Kelly
When It Comes to Wage Growth, the Measure Matters Downloads
Ross Cole, Luojia Hu and Sam Schulhofer-Wohl
Promise and Peril: Managing the Uncertainty of Rapid Innovation and a Changing Economy Downloads
Lamont K. Black, Makaylah Brookshire, Louie Christopoulos, Alexandra Dumitriu, Andrew Edwards, Courtney Markovich, Kristin Rhodes and Brian Wolfe
Central Counterparty Risk Management: Beyond Default Risk Downloads
Rebecca Lewis


Economic Outlook Symposium: Summary of 2015 Results and 2016 Forecasts Downloads
William A. Strauss and Rebecca Friedman
Improving Transparency and Accountability in State Budgeting Downloads
Richard H. Mattoon
Piketty’s Book and Macro Models of Wealth Inequality Downloads
Mariacristina De Nardi, Giulio Fella and Fang Yang
How Much Debt Does the U.S. Government Owe? Downloads
Rebecca Friedman and Mark Wright
Mortgage Refinancing during the Great Recession: The Role of Credit Scores Downloads
Gene Amromin, Benjamin Keys and Arthur J. Murton
Labor Issues Facing Agriculture and the Rural Midwest Downloads
David Oppedahl
Savings after Retirement: A Survey Downloads
Mariacristina De Nardi, Eric French and John Jones
The VW Scandal and Evolving Emissions Regulations Downloads
Thomas Klier and Joshua Linn
What Does the Changing Sectoral Composition of the Economy Mean for Workers? Downloads
Isaac Sorkin
Is There Still Slack in the Labor Market? Downloads
Daniel Aaronson, Scott Brave and David Kelley
Do Insurers in Catastrophe-Prone Regions Buy Enough Reinsurance? Downloads
Florentine M. Eloundou Nekoul and Alejandro Drexler
Medicaid Expansion and the Affordable Care Act: A Fiscal Checkup Downloads
Richard H. Mattoon and Sarah Wetmore
Debt Statistics a La Carte: Alternative Recipes for Measuring Government Indebtedness Downloads
Daniel Dias and Mark Wright
Macroeconomic Sources of Recent Interest Rate Fluctuations Downloads
Stefania D'Amico, Thomas King and Min Wei
Economy to Keep Rolling Along in 2016 and Accelerate Slightly in 2017 Downloads
William A. Strauss and Rebecca Friedman
The Illinois Budget Crisis in Context: A History of Poor Fiscal Performance Downloads
Thomas Walstrum
Using Private Sector “Big Data” as an Economic Indicator: The Case of Construction Spending Downloads
Daniel Aaronson and Scott Brave
Shifting Ground: The Changing Landscape in Financial Markets and Technology Downloads
Marshall Eckblad, Lamont K. Black and Ana Oppenheimer
Corporate Cash Flow and Its Uses Downloads
Thomas King and Timothy Larach
The Global Diffusion of Ideas and Its Impact on Productivity and Growth Downloads
Francisco J. Buera and Ezra Oberfield
Have Borrowers Recovered from Foreclosures during the Great Recession? Downloads
Sharada Dharmasankar and Bhashkar Mazumder
Taking a Deep Dive into Margins for Cleared Derivatives Downloads
Rebecca Lewis
Page updated 2018-12-11