Understanding the recent behavior of U.S. inflation

Robert Rich and Donald Rissmiller

Current Issues in Economics and Finance, 2000, vol. 6, issue Jul

Abstract: One of the most surprising features of the long current expansion has been the decline in price inflation through the late 1990s. Some observers interpret the decline as evidence of a permanent change in the relationship between inflation and economic growth. But an analysis based on a standard forecasting model suggests that conventional economic factors_most notably, a decrease in import prices_can account for the low inflation rates in recent years.

Keywords: Inflation (Finance); Imports (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2000
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