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Details about Robert Rich

E-mail:
Homepage:https://www.clevelandfed.org/en/our-research/economists/robert-w-rich.aspx
Phone:216 579-2928
Postal address:Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland P.O. Box 6387 Cleveland, Ohio 44101-1387
Workplace:Economic Research, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, (more information at EDIRC)

Access statistics for papers by Robert Rich.

Last updated 2020-02-20. Update your information in the RePEc Author Service.

Short-id: pri146


Jump to Journal Articles Chapters

Working Papers

2018

  1. A Closer Look at the Behavior of Uncertainty and Disagreement: Micro Evidence from the Euro Area
    Working Papers (Old Series), Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Downloads View citations (3)
    Also in Working Papers, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas (2018) Downloads View citations (3)

2017

  1. The behavior of uncertainty and disagreement and their roles in economic prediction: a panel analysis
    Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Downloads

2014

  1. The FRBNY Staff Underlying Inflation Gauge: UIG
    BIS Working Papers, Bank for International Settlements Downloads View citations (6)
    Also in Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2014) Downloads View citations (4)

2013

  1. Consumer Confidence: A Useful Indicator of... the Labor Market?
    Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Downloads
  2. Drilling Down into Core Inflation: Goods versus Services
    Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Downloads

2012

  1. Compensation Growth and Slack in the Current Economic Environment
    Liberty Street Economics, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Downloads
  2. The measurement and behavior of uncertainty: evidence from the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters
    Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Downloads View citations (10)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Applied Econometrics (2016)

2011

  1. Early contract renegotiation: An analysis of U.S. labor contracts from 1970 to 1995
    Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Downloads

2006

  1. The relationship between expected inflation, disagreement, and uncertainty: evidence from matched point and density forecasts
    Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Downloads View citations (15)

2005

  1. A review of core inflation and an evaluation of its measures
    Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Downloads View citations (48)

2004

  1. The linkage between regional economic indexes and tax bases: evidence from New York
    Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Downloads View citations (2)

2003

  1. Modeling uncertainty: predictive accuracy as a proxy for predictive confidence
    Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Downloads View citations (17)
  2. Tracking the new economy: using growth theory to detect changes in trend productivity
    Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Downloads View citations (7)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Monetary Economics (2007)

2001

  1. Structural change in U.S. wage determination
    Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Downloads

2000

  1. Uncertainty and Labor Contract Durations
    NBER Working Papers, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc Downloads View citations (9)
    Also in Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York (2000) Downloads View citations (8)

    See also Journal Article in The Review of Economics and Statistics (2004)

1999

  1. Structural estimates of the U.S. sacrifice ratio
    Staff Reports, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Downloads View citations (14)
    See also Journal Article in Journal of Business & Economic Statistics (2001)

1997

  1. Is there an inflation puzzle?
    Research Paper, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Downloads View citations (30)
    See also Journal Article in Economic Policy Review (1997)

Journal Articles

2019

  1. Inflation: Drivers and Dynamics 2019 Conference Summary
    Economic Commentary, 2019, 2019, (22), 6 Downloads

2017

  1. The New York Fed Staff Underlying Inflation Gauge (UIG)
    Economic Policy Review, 2017, (23-2), 1-32 Downloads

2016

  1. The Measurement and Behavior of Uncertainty: Evidence from the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2016, 31, (3), 533-550 Downloads View citations (28)
    See also Working Paper (2012)

2013

  1. Early Contract Renegotiation: An Analysis of US Labor Contracts, 1970-1995
    Journal of Labor Economics, 2013, 31, (4), 825 - 842 Downloads View citations (1)
  2. The parts are more than the whole: separating goods and services to predict core inflation
    Current Issues in Economics and Finance, 2013, 19, (Aug) Downloads View citations (8)

2011

  1. How does slack influence inflation?
    Current Issues in Economics and Finance, 2011, 17, (June) Downloads View citations (16)

2010

  1. Improving survey measures of household inflation expectations
    Current Issues in Economics and Finance, 2010, 16, (Aug/Sep) Downloads View citations (11)
  2. The Relationships among Expected Inflation, Disagreement, and Uncertainty: Evidence from Matched Point and Density Forecasts
    The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2010, 92, (1), 200-207 Downloads View citations (45)

2009

  1. Is the worst over? Economic indexes and the course of the recession in New York and New Jersey
    Current Issues in Economics and Finance, 2009, 15, (Sep) Downloads View citations (4)

2007

  1. A comparison of measures of core inflation
    Economic Policy Review, 2007, 13, (Dec), 19-38 Downloads View citations (21)
  2. Tracking the new economy: Using growth theory to detect changes in trend productivity
    Journal of Monetary Economics, 2007, 54, (6), 1670-1701 Downloads View citations (52)
    See also Working Paper (2003)

2006

  1. Tracking productivity in real time
    Current Issues in Economics and Finance, 2006, 12, (Nov) Downloads View citations (3)

2005

  1. Using Regional Economic Indexes to Forecast Tax Bases: Evidence from New York
    The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2005, 87, (4), 627-634 Downloads View citations (3)

2004

  1. The historical and recent behavior of goods and services inflation
    Economic Policy Review, 2004, (Dec), 19-31 Downloads View citations (10)
  2. Uncertainty and Labor Contract Durations
    The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2004, 86, (1), 270-287 Downloads View citations (34)
    See also Working Paper (2000)

2001

  1. Leading economic indexes for New York State and New Jersey
    Economic Policy Review, 2001, (Mar), 73-94 Downloads View citations (2)
  2. Structural Estimates of the U.S. Sacrifice Ratio
    Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 2001, 19, (4), 416-27 View citations (34)
    See also Working Paper (1999)

2000

  1. Understanding the recent behavior of U.S. inflation
    Current Issues in Economics and Finance, 2000, 6, (Jul) Downloads View citations (14)

1999

  1. Two new indexes offer a broad view of economic activity in the New York - New Jersey region
    Current Issues in Economics and Finance, 1999, 5, (Oct) Downloads View citations (8)

1998

  1. Disagreement as a Measure of Uncertainty: A Comment on Bomberger
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1998, 30, (3), 411-19 View citations (20)

1997

  1. Erratum [Oil and the Macroeconomy: A Markov State-Switching Approach]
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1997, 29, (4), 555 View citations (46)
  2. Is there an inflation puzzle?
    Economic Policy Review, 1997, 3, (Dec), 51-77 Downloads View citations (21)
    See also Working Paper (1997)
  3. Oil and the Macroeconomy: A Markov State-Switching Approach
    Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 1997, 29, (2), 193-213 View citations (107)

1995

  1. Inflation and the asymmetric effects of money on output fluctuations
    Journal of Macroeconomics, 1995, 17, (4), 683-702 Downloads View citations (47)

1994

  1. Rural Poverty and Aggregate Agricultural Performance in Post-independence India
    Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 1994, 56, (2), 111-33 View citations (23)
  2. Testing for the exogeneity of real income in models of the poverty process evidence from post-independence India
    Economics Letters, 1994, 46, (4), 295-302 Downloads

1993

  1. Testing for measurement errors in expectations from survey data: An instrumental variables approach
    Economics Letters, 1993, 43, (1), 5-10 Downloads

1992

  1. The Relationship between Forecast Dispersion and Forecast Uncertainty: Evidence from a Survey Data-ARCH Model
    Journal of Applied Econometrics, 1992, 7, (2), 131-48 Downloads View citations (22)

1991

  1. Generalized instrumental variables estimation of autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic models
    Economics Letters, 1991, 35, (2), 179-185 Downloads View citations (15)

1989

  1. Testing the Rationality of Inflation Forecasts from Survey Data: Another Look at the SRC Expected Price Change Data
    The Review of Economics and Statistics, 1989, 71, (4), 682-86 Downloads View citations (16)

Chapters

2003

  1. Distinguishing trends from cycles in productivity
    A chapter in Monetary policy in a changing environment, 2003, vol. 19, pp 443-462 Downloads
 
Page updated 2020-06-02