Türkiye Stock Market in the Shadow of COVID-19 Pandemic: A QARDL Approach

Muhammet Atlas DOÄžAN and Derese Kebede Teklä°e

Fiscaoeconomia, 2024, issue 1

Abstract: This study examines the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on the Türkiye stock market between March 14, 2020, and April 29, 2022, using the Quantile Autoregressive Distributed Lag (QARDL) model. The research investigates the relationship between the BIST100 index and selected economic indicators across quantiles ranging from 0.05 to 0.95. These indicators include daily new COVID-19 cases, the dollar exchange rate (FX), Brent crude oil prices (OIL), and credit default swap (CDS) rates. Findings indicate that an increase in COVID-19 cases has a negative impact on the stock market across various quantiles. While the dollar exchange rate generally shows a positive relationship with the BIST100 index, Brent crude oil prices, and CDS rates exhibit a negative impact. These results highlight the complex effects of both internal and external factors on the Türkiye stock market, providing significant insights for policymakers and future research.

Keywords: QARDL; COVID-19 Pandemic; Credit Default Swaps; Turkish Stock Market; Crude oil; Exchange Rate (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F31 G12 I18 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://dergipark.org.tr/en/download/article-file/3223094

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:fis:journl:240119

DOI: 10.25295/fsecon.1317679

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in Fiscaoeconomia from Tubitak Ulakbim JournalPark (Dergipark)
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Emre Atsan ().