Misbehaviour in Forecasting Financial Markets

Roy Batchelor

Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2016, issue 41, 10-13

Abstract: Batchelor poses this question: How can it be, in spite of strong incentives to make good forecasts, that there is no consensus on how best to analyze and predict financial markets? And how can so many apparently crazy methods survive and even prosper? The author says forecasting in this area is much different from, say, forecasting the weather, and goes on to discuss the challenges, pitfalls, and vagaries of the process. Copyright International Institute of Forecasters, 2016

Date: 2016
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