Review of Forewarned: A Sceptic's Guide to Prediction

Oliver Schaer and Simon Spavound

Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2018, issue 48, 17-18

Abstract: The authors review Paul Goodwin's recent book, A Sceptic's Guide to Prediction. Due to current mistrust of forecasting cited by Goodwin, they summarize his attempt to explain just what a forecast is, why it is complex and often problematical, and help us see when forecasts should be trusted and when we should be more wary and questioning. The book is written for a general audience and explains the difficulties, complexities and challenges of the field. As such the authors recommend the book as a primer for the lay reader. Copyright International Institute of Forecasters, 2018

Date: 2018
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