Forecasting the Impact of Artificial Intelligence, Part 5: The Emerging and Long-Term Future

Spyros Makridakis

Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2018, issue 51, 36-41

Abstract: In this fifth and concluding installment of his comprehensive series on forecasting the impact of Artificial Intelligence (AI)?begun in Foresight?s Fall 2017 issue?Spyros Makridakis turns his attention to the future, which in many respects already appears to be here. He assesses AI?s ongoing influence on human culture and commerce by focusing on 10 technological trends that stand to have a profound impact on our lives. The effects of a few of these trends are already being felt in our day-to-day affairs, while others might seem to have sprung from the imaginations of the most audacious science-fiction writers. One thing appears certain: it is more true now than ever that, as Spyros noted at the outset of this series, the challenge will continue to be to predict forthcoming technologies without falling into the trap of shortsightedness, which has plagued so many of the previous forecasts. Copyright International Institute of Forecasters, 2018

Date: 2018
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