Commentary: Another Use of the Stagger Chart

Mike Gilliland

Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2020, issue 58, 42-42

Abstract: Gilliland comments on the previous article in Foresight about the usefulness of the stagger chart. However, he raises the possibility that a forecast may become less, rather than more, accurate as forecasts proceed and suggests one factor may be a negative practice called the hold-and-roll, in which missed forecasts are rolled into future periods to stick with a long-range plan. This practice can snowball and lead into greater forecast errors in the future.

Date: 2020
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