U.S. Presidential Election Forecasting: The Economist Model

Colin Lewis-Beck and Michael Lewis-Beck

Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2020, issue 59, 38-44

Abstract: In June of this year, The Economist began publishing regular forecasts of the outcome of the 2020 U.S. presidential election. In this article, Colin and Michael Lewis-Beck describe the model used, evaluate its potential strengths and weaknesses, and provide many perspectives on election forecasting models in general. They conclude with forecasts of the results of the vote in the upcoming November 3 U.S. presidential election. Copyright International Institute of Forecasters, 2020

Date: 2020
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:for:ijafaa:y:2020:i:59:p:38-44

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