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The Accuracy of Prediction Markets

Thomas Wolfram

Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting, 2024, issue 73, 48-53

Abstract: Wolfram follows up his Issue 54 article on corporate prediction markets (PMs) with a new analysis of PM accuracy utilizing large datasets from the IARPA project. Copyright International Institute of Forecasters, 2024

Date: 2024
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