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The current situation and some key trends and challenges in Russia's transport sector in 2025

Andrey Makarov
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Andrey Makarov: Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy

Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development (In Russian), 2025, issue 29, 4

Abstract: By the end of 2025, the Russian transportation system will see a slight decline in transportation volumes. Freight turnover for all modes of transport in January-September 2025 decreased by approximately 1-2% with a slight reduction in freight volumes, reflecting a contraction in demand for logistics against the backdrop of high rates and a slowdown in economic growth. In the meantime, there's been a shift in traffic to the eastern and southern corridors, with seaports in the Far East basin playing a bigger role. The passenger segment is showing mixed dynamics: total passenger traffic for the first nine months of 2025 reached approximately 7.6 billion people, with growth in certain segments, but air traffic is showing a slight decline (2–4%). There is a growing trend towards digitalization (TMS, platforms, AI routing), market consolidation around major players, and the development of regional transport connectivity through large-scale government investment in the transport industry (approximately Rb1.5 trillion in 2025 and another Rb6 trillion by 2028).

Keywords: Russian economy; transportation sector (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: L9 L91 L92 L93 R41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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